German Bundesliga
2013-04-20 - Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Football : Germany : Bundesliga
Saturday, 20th April 2013 - Kickoff 2:30pm GMT
BETTING PREVIEW
Bayer Leverkusen have never lost to Hoffenheim, and it's hard to see them doing so here. Leverkusen are at home, sitting 3rd in the league, while Hoffenheim are 17th! The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a 2-1 away win for Bayer Leverkusen.
The h2h is totally one-sided, with 8 wins for Bayer and 1 draw, back in 2010. In total, Leverusen are scoring 2.5 goals per game against Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. Indeed, Hoffenheim have lost more games to Leverkusen than any other team.
This season, Hoffenheim have conceded 54 while scoring just 35, which is why they have just 6 wins, 6 draws and a total of 17 losses that leaves them where they are. Bayer are not pleased with the 38 they have allowed, while scoring 53. It's costing them games. I see no clean sheet in their last 6 games, and it has led to just 2 wins in that period. They have drawn their last 2 games, 2-2 at Schalke and 1-1 here before that when Wolfsburg visited.
Hoffenheim are the worst road team in the league this season, while Leverkusen have scored in each home game. So, I'm expecting a home win here, but I can't shake the feeling Hoffenheim might just score, even if they lose. Leverkusen have not managed a clean sheet in a while, and they may well just try and win a shootout and try and outscore their visitors to win, something they can do without much trouble.
THE BETTING VERDICT
The 1.50 on the home win is a bit low, so to try and get better returns, I'll take the win not to nil option.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim
