AC Milan v Celtic Champions League betting preview played on 2013-09-18
AC Milan v Celtic

AC Milan                             Champions League BETTING PREVIEW - AC Milan
v Celtic

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AC Milan v Celtic

AC Milan v Celtic

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Champions League

2013-09-18 - AC Milan v Celtic

A Sports Betting Preview by Lamps

AC Milan vs Celtic
Football : Europe : Champions League
Wednesday 18th September - Kickoff 7:45pm



AC Milan


AC Milan have once again been drawn with Barcelona in the Champions League once again. Fortunately for them they open against Scottish Champions Celtic at the San Siro with Ajax the other side in this very tough looking group.

Allegri has been hit hard by injuries this season and new signing Kaka is already on the treatment table. The Brazilian joins Abate, Bonera, Silvestre, De Sciglio, Pazzini, El Shaarawy, Montolivo, Niang and Saponara all absent for Wednesday's game.

Milan have won 2 of their last 3 Champions League home games defeating PSV (3-0) and Barcelona (2-0). The other game was a shock 0-1 defeat by Zenit and Milan know that losing on opening day to Celtic, at home in this group could be fatal even with 5 more games to play.

Celtic


Celtic qualified to the Group Stages thanks to a last minute winner over Kazakhstan's Shakhter Karagandy. Their reward is a group of death with Barcelona, Ajax and Milan. Qualifying ahead of these sides looks a long shot but having beaten Milan and Barca before Celtic will enter these games without fear.

Lennon has a few injuries himself ahead of this tough opener at the San Siro. Celtic are without Mouyokolo and Forrest whilst Mathews is a doubt. I expect a rigid 4-5-1 shape from the Scots as they look to counter on Milan whenever possible, however having lost 2-0 in Kazakhstan last time around taking a result from Milan doesn't look a likely task.

The good news for Celtic is that they have kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 6 Champions League games. Granted most have been in early qualifying games against lesser opposition but they did draw here 0-0 back in 2007 against an arguably stronger Milan side.

Betting Verdict


Milan are cira 1.50 shots to win this game and that looks a little short, likewise the Asian Line is currently set at -1 and if anything it's Celtic who appeal more.

I can't back the hoops after that showing in Kazakstan but Milan's injury crisis is a bigger concern. Defensively the hosts look suspect and I feel if Celtic score that +1 handicap will be at least a push.

For smaller stakes I will back Mario Balotelli in the any time scorers market rather than a traditional team or goal lines bet. Mario has been on fire in recent weeks netting 2 goals in 3 games. Both were penalties but given he takes most attacking set pieces as well I feel if Milan are going to get through Celtic this is their main source.

Most of the markets are priced incredibly short but at odds against this gives us a decent bet at more than fair odds. Milan scored 3 at home to PSV not long ago and I rate that Dutch side in higher regard than Celtic. The host should win but I'm backing Super Mario to find the back of the net.

Good Luck

The Statistics :

MILAN_AC LAST SIX HOME FORM
Milan_AC DATE   RESULT OPPOSITION
2013-08-28  W 3-0   H v PSV_Eindhoven  
2013-02-20  W 2-0   H v Barcelona  
2012-12-04  L 0-1   H v Zenit_St_Petersburg  
2012-11-06  D 1-1   H v Malaga  
2012-09-18  D 0-0   H v Anderlecht  
2012-03-28  D 0-0   H v Barcelona  

CELTIC LAST SIX AWAY FORM
Celtic DATE   RESULT OPPOSITION
2013-03-06  L 2-0   A v Juventus  
2012-11-20  L 2-1   A v Benfica  
2012-10-23  L 2-1   A v Barcelona  
2012-10-02  W 2-3   A v Spartak_Moscow  
2012-08-21  W 0-2   A v Helsingborg  
2010-07-27  L 3-0   A v Braga  

HEAD TO HEAD MILAN_AC v CELTIC
DATE   HOME SCORE   AWAY
2007-12-04    Milan_AC   1-0   Celtic  
2007-03-07    Milan_AC   0-0   Celtic  
2004-09-29    Milan_AC   3-1   Celtic  


The Pick :

AC Milan 2-1 Celtic


FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Take Balotelli To Score At Any Time at 2.40 at Paddy Power



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READER FEEDBACK


This preview has been read 6540 times.

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Reader votes for AC Milan v Celtic

  • AC Milan : 4 votes (40%)
  • Draw / Tie : 1 votes (10%)
  • Celtic : 5 votes (50%)

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Champions League betting preview for AC Milan v Celtic | Played on 2013-09-18 | Analysis & sportsbook lines

Champions League betting preview for AC Milan v Celtic | Played on 2013-09-18 | Analysis & sportsbook lines