Friday CRACKER - Aussie Football

The first pick of the "weekend" is the Australian A-League pick by Money-Man on the main site.

He makes a good case for taking Melbourne to win and I'll go for the league leaders on the AH+0 bet (which works just like a draw-no-bet play) for 20 points.

Best prices are :
- 1.91 @ PinnacleSports
- 1.88 @ Bet365

If you prefer Melbourne to win straight up then you can get a price of 2.50 @ Gamebookers

This one kicks off around 9am in Europe - so get on it sharpish if you're about.

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Wednesday night football crackers

There are five English Premier League games on tonight - and I've written previews for all five of them on the main site.

(see the English Football Betting page for the links to the detailed previews or click on the individual matchlinks below)

But here is a summary of the bets I like the look of tonight.

Manchester United vs Everton.
20 points on Man United on -1.25 AH at PinnacleSports at 1.84

Liverpool vs Portsmouth
20 points on Liverpool clean sheet at BetDirect at 2.00

Fulham v Arsenal
20 points on Theirry Henry score anytime at Eurobet at 2.10

Aston Villa v Man City
17 points on Aston Villa -0.5 AH at VCBet at 2.00
3 points on 1-1 correct score at VCBet at 6.50

Bolton v Chelsea
10 points on Draw/Chelsea HT/FT bet at Ladbrokes at 4.50

Ok - that gives you action for all five games - and I'm looking for 3-4 winners for a nice little profit for the night.

Remember - you don't have to take any or all of these bets - it's your money and your decision.

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Apologies

Apologies for the lack of action on the weekend - but we had a storm here that put out the phone lines for a while and also hit a few homes quite badly.

I was tied up with a few REAL world issues - helpng out the neighbours - and had to put the online betting to one side.

We should be back in action in midweek in the Champions League.

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Cracker Summary

Stuttgart came back from conceding the first goal to beat Hanover 2-1 and go to the top of the table - and also enabling us to collect.

Our performance has been less than stellar so far with a 17-11 record over the first 28 bets, which has allowed us to grow the bank from an initial 100 units to 114.65

The target of 500 units still seems a long way away - but we will see what we can do over the next fortnight to bring us closer.

Catch us back here soon for more ... and good luck with your punts.

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Sunday Cracker Bets

Lets take in a Bundesliga game first up where high flying Stuttgart travel to face Hannover.

VfB Stuttgart have good last 10 form at 6-3-1 and a good away record of 3-2-0 as well, and a win today would move them to the top of the table.

Hannover are bottom of the league, just 0-2-3 at home, but did surprise massively in midweek by winning at Bayern Munich.

So do you think that Hannover are likely to build on that result and win again??!

Bollocks! They are bottom of the table for a reason - and they are far more likely to throw up a shocking result in my opinion.

There is a risk of the draw though - so we will take Bet365's Draw no Bet option at 1.66.

Take Stuttgart for 25 units @ 1.67 (DNB) at SportingOdds

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Saturday Crackers

With 83 units in the bank, I think that we will probably try 5-6 bets, making it a standard bet of 15 units per play.

The first one is to take Man City to beat Newcastle in the lunchtime kickoff - I make it slightly over 50% - so a price of 2.20+ is worth a shot.

Take Man City for 15 units @ 2.25 at Betsson Sportsbook
(not the lower exchange price)

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Another game where i think that the home side is over priced is at the Riverside where Middlesbro take on West Ham.

I know that West Ham have won two on the trot - but both were at home - and the Hammers are typically poor when playing away.

Boro are not world beaters but they've beaten both Everton and Newcastle here recently - and again I was expecting prices at about evens.

The 2.34 price at Mansion Exchange is too tempting especially as it's commission free.
Take Middlesbro for 15 units @ 2.34 at Mansion Exchange

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Let's also take a wee trip to Tuscany and back Fiorentina to beat Atalanta on Saturday evening.

Both teams are in the top 7, so it'll be a good clash but I think that the home side have the ability to win this match.

They're 3-0-2 at home, with wins of Reggina, Catania and Parma ... and before losing 1-3 against Roma last weekend they'd won 5 games in a row.

Take Fiorentina for 15 units @ 1.69 at Mansion Exchange

That's three bets for Saturday now ... with more to follow

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Wednesday's Cracker

There was just 1 win and 2 draws in Tuesday's DNB treble - but that's the beauty of the bet - as it stayed alive to add an extra 10 units into the bank which now stands at 132.50.

CARLING CUP - EVERTON v ARSENAL
On Wednesday we are going to Goodison Park to oppose "young" Arsenal in the Carling Cup.

Arsenal are taking a second string side to this cup match, needing to rest players before two important games coming up (see full Everton v Arsenal match preview here), and so I do not see why Arsenal have anything but a small chance (about 15% in my view) of winning in normal time at Goodison Park.

So I'm recommending that we take a 50 unit 1X bet on Everton.

The standard double chance offers at the bookmakers are poor at just 30%, but we can construct a 42% payout at Mansion Exchange with a liitle bit of work - which is what we are going to do.

So ...

Take 30 units on Everton @ 2.44 at Mansion Exchange
Take 20 units on the Draw @ 3.56 at Mansion Exchange

That's 50 units staked and we will return 73.20 units if Everton win, and 71.20 units on the Draw.

That's a nice profit of between 42%-46% for a game that I feel has just a 15% downside risk.

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And of course as a Gooner, I can always hope for Arsenal to draw during normal time and win in extra time too ...

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Sunday's Cracker Selections

A little late today (sorry) but you still should have plenty of time to get these on.

RUGBY INTERNATIONAL.
We will start with the rugby where the bookies are going overboard and offering England with a huge start at nearly even money.

Sure the All Blacks are the best side in the world, but this is NOT the strongest All Black selection (that is being saved for the games against France) and on Saturday Wales showed us that the gap between the hemispheres closes markedly when playing games in Europe.

The All Blacks will probably win - but the Twickenham factor will mean that England keep it close and certinaly well within the 14.5 points we are being offered.

20 Units on England +14.5 pts @ 1.96 @ PinnacleSports

FOOTBALL
There are two very good games in prospect in Germany today - but although the Schalke v Bayern Munich game is undoubtedly the match of the round it too tough for me to comfortably take the home side.

Instead I'll go to Frankfurt where the home side take on Monchengladbach who have an awful 0-0-4 away record. It's a little bit complicated by the fact that Frankfurt played in the UEFA Cup on Thursday though so I'll take the Draw-No-Bet option at 1.57.

20 Units on Frankfurt Draw-No-Bet @ 1.57 @ SportingOdds

I'll also dip into the action in Holland and take Dutch powerhouse side Ajax to ease past Heracles Almelo. Ajax are 9-0-1 this season winning their last six in a row. A slight concern about Heracles artifical pitch. But I'll take that risk.

20 Units on Ajax to win @ 1.44 @ Ladbrokes

Finally to England where there are three possible options.

I'll sidestep the Spurs v Chelsea game - even though Chelsea are 6-2-0 in their last 8 visits to White Hart Lane - because I think that Spurs will have a surprise in store for the Blues this this time.

I'll also avoid Villa v Blackburn too. Blackburn have had a very tough fixture list with games on Sunday (League) , Thursday (UEFA Cup) and Sunday again. Too many injuries and fatigue as well to back the visitors and Aston Villa have gone cold after a good start to the season.

Instead I'll go to Upton Park where Arsenal will face a West Ham side who will have been relieved to finally get a win (over Blackburn) last time.

But for West Ham to get something here they're probably gonig to have to play negatively - and that's just something that West Ham do not do often at home in front of their own fans. The Hammers will try to play good football - and I think that Arsenal will take up the challenge.

20 Units on Arsenal to win @ 1.62 @ PremierBet

So that's it - 4 bets for 80 units in total - and we are going to need three winners to turn a profit today. I think we will get that - and let's hope for our first clean sweep eh?

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Football Betting Crackers (Sat 4 Nov )

Starting bank : 133.5 Units (+33.5)

Remember we have already placed the 40 unit double on
ManYoo and Liverpool - 1.82 @ Interwetten

Additional Saturday crackers :

Werder Bremen v Energie Cottbus
Take 20 units on OVER 2.5 GOALS - 1.50 @ SportingOdds

Auxerre v Le Mans
Take 20 units on Auxerre - 1.90 @ Eurobet

Bolton v Wigan
Take 20 units on Bolton - 1.99 @ Mansion Ex.

Fulham v Everton
Take 20 units on Fulham - 2.80 @ Bet365

I make that a total of 120 units placed - I did warn you that we'd have to be aggressive ... so that leaves us with just 13.5 units in the bank.

We'd better get some payoffs tonight - or it will be a short campaign.

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Wednesday's Crackers.

Things are not so easy on Wednesday.

Sure - there are three very likely winners in AC Milan, Lyon and Real Madrid - but the bookeis are protecting those games with very low prices and there is not that much value.

Ideally I like at least 3 bets - and the aim is to land a majority of winners for a profit. We've done this so far going 4-2 and 3-1 on the first two days.

But it's a bit of a struggle tonight - as I don't usually like taking AH at over 1 - and the likely winners are very short prices.

So today we will not risk the full bank - as I've got a feeling that I'm pushing too hard.

1-Nov Bets :

Benfica v Celtic
... Take Benfica -1/2 AH for 25.00 at 2.00 odds at Bet365

Real Madrid v Steaua and AC Milan v Anderlecht
... Take Madrid/Milan (double) 25.00 at 1.37 odds at Eurobet

Ol. Lyon v Dynamo Kiev
... Take Lyon -1.75 AH for 25.00 at 1.80 odds at Bet365

I feel Lyon are the strongest of the home sides on Wednesday, and are most likely to complete a 2/3 goal win.

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