NCAA Football
2007-10-13 - Air Force Falcons at Colorado State Rams
A Sports Betting Pick by Luccin
Venue: Fort Collins, Colorado
Recent Matchups
2006 Air Force v Colorado State 24-21
2005 Air Force @ Colorado State 23-41
2004 Air Force v Colorado State 47-17
2003 Air Force @ Colorado State 20-30
Air Force
The Falcons will rely on a powerful running game to try and overcome an underperforming Colorado State, like all of the military academies they rely on a tough to stop, triple option attack.
The running attack ranks first in the Mountain West and has accounted for high profile wins over Utah and TCU.
The defence has performed well and has stopped the opponents in the red zone on 60% of plays.
Expect the Falcons to put up at least 30 points.
Colorado State
The Rams have lost the first 5 games this season, including last term they are now 0-12. Few positives can be taken, they rank among the worst teams in the conference in virtually every category.
The attack has not been firing and the defence is struggling to stop anyone from scoring.
The positives are that they have played a fairly tough schedule, including Colorado and California, and they have not really been blown out, this has led some to believe that they are the best 0-5 team in the nation.
In this punters opinion you are not 0-5 simply because of bad luck
The Verdict
It seems odd that Colorado State are actually a 3 point favourite, I would expect the Air Force to cover and also to take the win.
You just can’t pick a team that has lost its last 12, no matter how tough the opposition - get on Air Force.
BEST BETTING TIP :
Air Force to win @ 2.32Total points, over 47 @ 1.893
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
