ITALIAN SERIE A BETTING PICK - UDINESE CALCIO V CAGLIARI

Italian Serie A

2008-05-11 - Udinese Calcio vs Cagliari

A Sports Betting Pick by Cruiser

Analysis:

Udinese enters this match knowing they still have a slight mathematical chance to qualify for the Champions League spot. The visitors Cagliari on the other hand can be assured of survival with a win here, they are safe for now unless teams at the bottom starts winning their matches then they are under threat once again.

Udinese have been guilty of conceding easy goals when they were beaten by teams such as Napoli 0-5, Genoa 3-5 and the high scoring 2-2 with Genoa. So one thing is for sure is that there will be a lot of goals in this match. Pasquale Marino’s side uses the 3-4-3 formation which is entertaining and guarantees goals aplenty.

Even though Udinese won their last match they were not impressive, it needed a mistake from goalkeeper Daniele Balli who didn’t catch Fabio Quagliarella properly and went into goal. Nevertheless that back to back win was good enough for them to overtake Sampdoria and move into sixth spot in the standings, which along with it gives them a UEFA Cup spot. Now they are four points away from a Champions League spot currently occupied by Milan. So they will definitely will want to set their sights on winning this match and hope teams above them drop points. With 6 points on offer before the season comes to a close, you can be sure that Udinese will want to take maximum points from those two games, starting with today’s match with Cagliari.

As for Cagliari, they have done well to escape from the relegation zone. They took nine points from the last 12 available and are virtually safe to be in Serie A next season. Davide Ballardini have done wonders since taking over and in their last five matches have beaten sides such as Napoli, Genoa and Fiorentina.

The visitors will miss the contribution of Daniele Conti this Sunday after he picked up a booking in their last match and will serve a suspension. After all it was the combination of Daniele Conti and Andrea Cossu who terrorized the Fiorentina defence last week to earn all three points. Cagliari’s strength still lies in their home form rather than their travels and could struggle here.

For the record, Cagliari have only won twice away from the Sant’Elia this season and have lost 12 times off the island, a record currently shared by Empoli and Catania who are battling against relegation.

I will go for Udinese to get the win here and give the 1/4 ball away.

Cheers and good luck,
Cruiser

The Statistics :

The Pick :

BEST BETTING TIP :

Take Udinese to win this match.