Gooners Football Spreadsheet betting analysis

  A GAMBLING GUIDE     | SPORTS BETTING TIPS | BOOKMAKER REVIEWS | BETTING ODDS

Home Current Football Spreadsheet Picks ::

betting spreadsheet picks

SPREADSHEET PREDICTIONS - NAVIGATION MENU

INSIDE THE NUMB3RS - THE CURRENT BETTING SHEET PREDICTIONS

TEAMS   ML   RATINGS     RESULT %   DV SHEET   HOME ODDS   DRAW ODDS   AWAY ODDS  
DATE GAME_ID HOME AWAY   PK   M H A   OBS   HW D AW   PK STATS   $ Val Bookie   $ Val Bookie   $ Val Bookie  
2014-12-22  1005890   Stoke_City   Chelsea      -72   1007  1078    110    13  22   65      More   6.50   85%   BetVictor     4.00   88%   Bet365     1.62   105%   Bet365    
2014-12-21  6006239   Bilbao   Atletico_Madrid      -15   1031  1046    52    37  17   46      More   3.70   137%   BetVictor     3.30   56%   Interwetten     2.27   104%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-21  6006238   Elche   Malaga      -35   932  967    130    37  30   33      More   3.00   111%   BetVictor     3.30   99%   Interwetten     2.64   87%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-21  6006237   Granada   Getafe      -35   918  953    66    41  26   33      More   2.40   98%   BetVictor     3.30   86%   Interwetten     3.41   113%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-21  6006236   Villarreal   La_Coruna    +   112   1035  923    209    56  25   18      More   1.37   77%   Interwetten     5.42   136%   Pinnacle     11.03   199%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-21  3004745   Freiburg   Hannover      38   992  954    249    47  24   29      More   2.52   118%   Pinnacle     3.51   84%   Pinnacle     3.00   87%   Bet365    
2014-12-21  3004744   Hertha_Berlin   Hoffenheim      36   994  958    263    47  24   29      More   2.60   122%   Interwetten     3.50   84%   BetVictor     2.86   83%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-21  2005488   Inter_Milan   Lazio    =   12   996  984    241    44  30   26      More   2.20   97%   Interwetten     3.46   104%   Pinnacle     3.99   104%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-21  2005487   Torino   Genoa      -17   1002  1020    144    41  22   38      More   2.30   94%   Interwetten     3.35   74%   Pinnacle     4.20   160%   BetVictor    
2014-12-21  2005486   Sampdoria   Udinese      73   1035  961    265    56  26   18      More   1.93   108%   BetVictor     3.41   89%   Pinnacle     4.96   89%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-21  2005485   Fiorentina   Empoli      55   1018  963    306    48  33   19      More   1.55   74%   MyBet     4.33   143%   Coral     7.54   143%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-21  2005484   Atalanta   Palermo    =   3   988  985    230    40  31   30      More   2.40   96%   BetVictor     3.25   101%   Bet365     3.50   105%   BetVictor    
2014-12-21  2005483   Verona   Chievo    =   6   969  963    248    40  35   25      More   2.38   95%   BetVictor     3.35   117%   Betsson     3.43   86%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-21  1005889   Liverpool   Arsenal      24   1056  1032    69    38  29   33      More   2.88   109%   BetVictor     3.50   102%   BetVictor     2.55   84%   BetVictor    
2014-12-21  1005888   Newcastle   Sunderland      26   1015  989    252    47  26   27      More   1.95   92%   Bet365     3.50   91%   BetVictor     4.33   117%   BetVictor    
2014-12-20  6006235   Vallecano   Espanyol      45   961  916    155    43  32   25      More   2.32   100%   Pinnacle     3.51   112%   Pinnacle     3.28   82%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-20  6006234   Eibar   Valencia      -26   952  979    222    45  23   32      More   4.00   180%   BetVictor     3.44   79%   Pinnacle     2.10   67%   Interwetten    
2014-12-20  6006233   Levante   Real_Sociedad      12   941  929    142    46  29   25      More   3.13   144%   BetVictor     3.30   96%   Interwetten     2.56   64%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-20  6006232   Barcelona   Cordoba    +   268   1214  946    116    89  6       More   1.07   95%   Interwetten     19.80   119%   Pinnacle     56.00   280%   BetVictor    
2014-12-20  3004743   Wolfsburg   Cologne    +   123   1073  951    183    71  18   11      More   1.55   110%   BetVictor     4.52   81%   Pinnacle     7.00   77%   Bet365    
2014-12-20  3004742   Bremen   Dortmund      -55   976  1031    130    32  26   42      More   6.50   208%   Bet365     4.54   118%   Pinnacle     1.57   66%   BetVictor    
2014-12-20  3004741   Stuttgart   Paderborn      0   943  943    80    44  31   25      More   1.93   85%   BetVictor     3.85   119%   Pinnacle     4.13   103%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-20  3004740   Schalke   Hamburg    +   190   1118  928    78    71  13   17      More   1.87   133%   BetVictor     3.79   49%   Pinnacle     4.61   78%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-20  3004739   Leverkusen   Eintracht_F    +   73   1056  983    154    60  21   19      More   1.55   93%   Interwetten     5.04   106%   Pinnacle     7.28   138%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-20  3004738   Augsberg   Monchengladbach      47   1056  1009    154    52  18   30      More   2.63   137%   BetVictor     3.41   61%   Pinnacle     2.90   87%   Ladbrokes    
2014-12-20  2005482   Roma_AS   Milan_AC    +   147   1153  1006    11    64  27       More   1.85   118%   Interwetten     3.94   106%   Pinnacle     4.92   44%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-20  2005481   Sassuolo   Cesena      83   976  893    87    54  33   13      More   1.65   89%   Interwetten     4.18   138%   Pinnacle     8.00   104%   BetVictor    
2014-12-20  1005887   West_Ham   Leicester    +   135   1056  921    168    65  23   12      More   1.70   111%   BetVictor     3.90   90%   BetVictor     5.50   66%   Bet365    
2014-12-20  1005886   Tottenham   Burnley    +   127   1020  893    142    58  25   17      More   1.53   89%   BetVictor     4.30   108%   BetVictor     7.00   119%   Bet365    
2014-12-20  1005885   Southampton   Everton      10   1039  1029    104    41  25   34      More   2.40   98%   BetVictor     3.40   85%   BetVictor     3.25   111%   Coral    
2014-12-20  1005884   QPR   WBA      26   1002  977    283    47  27   26      More   2.50   118%   BetVictor     3.40   92%   Coral     3.20   83%   BetWay    
2014-12-20  1005883   Hull_City   Swansea      -25   964  989    171    35  33   33      More   3.10   109%   BetVictor     3.30   109%   MyBet     2.60   86%   Coral    
2014-12-20  1005882   Aston_Villa   Man_Utd    -   -99   965  1064    92    23  18   59      More   6.50   150%   BetVictor     4.00   72%   BetVictor     1.67   99%   Coral    
2014-12-20  1005881   Man_City   Crystal_Palace    +   159   1153  994    163    76  18       More   1.30   99%   BetVictor     5.75   104%   BetVictor     12.00   72%   Bet365    
2014-12-19  6006231   Celta_Vigo   Almeria      87   991  904    154    55  19   25      More   1.60   88%   Interwetten     4.51   86%   Pinnacle     6.86   172%   Pinnacle    
2014-12-19  3004737   Mainz   Bayern_Munich    -   -153   1026  1179      38   63      More   17.70   0%   Pinnacle     7.15   272%   Pinnacle     1.23   77%   Interwetten    

 

A BASIC KEY FOR THE SPREADSHEET : (in response to a few queries on Twitter and Facebook)

RATINGS : These are the ratings for the two teams adjusted for the venue. H = Home Team, A = Away Team, M = Margin between the two sides.
NOTES : A one goal margin win (on average) is 100 points - but given randomness, poisson distribution and standard devation - even 50-75 points is a strong indicator.

PICKS : There are two pick types ...
ML PK = Most likely pick (the most likely result). + is a home win, = is a draw, - is an away win. These are usually obvious to most punters.
DV PK = Discovered Value Pick. + is a home win, = is a draw, - is an away win. These consider the potential risk/reward of odds and potential profits.

OTHER STUFF : Some other notes about the sheet.
OBS : The number of Observations (or previous games) that have helped to shape the result %. The more obs, the better accuracy. 100+ obs is good data.
RESULT % : HW = Home Win, D = Draw. AW = Away Win. These are percentage estimates based on results from previous games with similar ratings.
VAL : This is the potential value of the decimal odds, when considering the expected result %. Eg. 2.00 * 50% = 100% value which is fair value

NOTES : Obvious winners and big favourites are very rarely "good value".
The bookies know they're likely to win too and usually offer a poor price and taking these bets usually means a losing season overall. Always look for value. (100% or better)

If there is anything else you need to know - drop me a line on the GoonersGuide Facebook Page.

 

GET A BET ON AT A RECOMMENDED ONLINE BOOKMAKER

 

RECOMMENDED BOOKMAKER SITES : Direct Bet links :
Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | BoyleSports | Coral | Centrebet | ColossusPools | Interwetten | Ladbrokes | MyBet | Paddy Power | PinnacleSports | SkyBet |

OFFSHORE SPORTSBOOKS (US PLAYERS) :
BetOnline | Bookmaker.com | Bovada | Nitrogen Sports |



WEB STUFF - COUNTERS AND TRACKING BITS

PAGE COUNTER

counter
Online since 1999 ... Now over 108 million + pages read on GoonersGuide.com !
That's pronounced ... ONE HUNDRED ... MEELLLLLION !!
Cheers -


GoonersGuide.com provides independant gambling reviews, sports betting tips, previews, and bookmaker odds for club and international games played in Europe.
UEFA Champions League, 2014 World Cup Finals in Brazil English Premier League, Italian Serie A, Spanish La Liga, German Bundesliga, Australian A-League.

US sports are covered with Major League Baseball, NBA Basketball, NFL Football and College Football picks online as well.


Gooners Football Betting Spreadsheet