Spanish La Liga
2010-03-20 - Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Valladolid
A Sports Betting Pick by Shady
Football: Spain, Primera Division 2009/2010
Saturday, 20th March 2010 - Kickoff 5pm
Match Analysis :
Without a win since the turn of the year Real Valladolid are lying on 19th position and Onesimo Sanchez side would have to turn things round as soon as possible if they wish to avoid the drop. Valladolid have only managed to collect 4 points from a possible 33 points since Christmas.
With Onesimo Sanchez 6 points adrift from safty, Sanchez could yet mention that he is confident his side is moving on the right direction! I am simply amazed with that. In their last outing, Valladolid was simply hammered by Real Madrid. They lack quality in every department of the pitch and Sanchez is always relying on Diego Costa to get him the goals.
While the away side are in all sorts of problem, Miguel Angel’s side are currently lying on 6th spot, a point behind Mallorca and 2 points behind Sevilla. Deportivo are missing several players such as Gonzales, Riki, Luis, Juca, Tomas and Angula but Angel’s side have done will to cope with the injury crisis.
Deportivo's leading goal scorer Riki is out however goals Deportivo have not relied on one player as Riki has only 4 goals to his name.
Probable line ups:
Deportivo : Aranzubia, Pablo, Colotto, Lopo, Seoane, Ze Castro, Dominguez, Rodriguez, Veleron, Adrian and Lassad.
Valladolid : Villar, Lopez, Sereno, Arzo, Del Horno, Borja, Hauzet, Pele, Medunjanin, Marquitos and Diego Costa.
Asian Handicap Analysis :
Under the asianhandicap line this season, Deportivo La Coruna holds one of the best home record, only second to Mallorca. Deportivo have won 9 out of their 13 home games this season, losing only 4 under the handicap line.
The four defeat came against, Real Madrid, Barcelona, Sporting Gijon and Espanyol. A very impressive record I would say. .
On the other hand, Valladolid have won 6 out of their 12 away games under the handicap line. The wins came against Osasuna, Racing Santander, Sevilla, Espanyol, Zaragoza and Almeria.
The Betting Verdict :
This is not a banker game but Deportivo are strong at home and Valladolid are simple awful on the road. With Deportivo pushing for a Champions League position next season, they would have to win as many games as possible as they are 2 points behind Sevilla who is lying on 4th spot.
With Deportivo playing solid and compact at home, i expect Deportivo to win this game. However Deportivo do not score many goals so there is a possibility that Valladolid might hold Deportivo to a low scoring draw. However with Valladolid letting in goals for fun on the road, Miguel Angel’s side should be good enough to win this.
The Statistics :
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BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Deportivo LA Coruna to win the game
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Consider trying Deportivo to cover the -0.75 head start
