Romanian League
2010-05-09 - International Arges vs Ceahlaul Piatra-Neam
A Sports Betting Pick by ROzsolt
Football : Romania : Liga 1
"Nicolae Dobrin" stadium, Pitesti
Sunday 9 May, 2010 Kickoff time: 16:00 GMT+2
International Arges (14th) W-9 D-6 L-16 29:45
International made it difficult for Unirea Urziceni to win all three points in the last stage, they conceded a second half goal and the match ended up 1-0.
With three games left until the end of the season, Inter are just 3 points above relegation zone, so they need at least 3 or 4 points in order to escape relegation. After this game they are playing against Steaua and CFR Cluj, two extremely difficult games where they cannot hope for much, so this game in which they are hosting Ceahlaul is a must win.
Arges is playing a 4-4-2 system, with two forwards even if they are a small team and most of their opponents expects them to play defensive. They have scored 29 goals so far which is quite decent but conceded 45 which shows that they do have some problems in defense. As a matter in fact, against Dinamo, Rapid and Vaslui, International scored first and had a one goal advantage after the first half but then conceded at least two goals and lost all three games.
International Arges last 5 home results :
26.04.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 29 International Arges 1-2 FC Vaslui
10.04.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 27 International Arges 2-1 Apulum Alba Iulia
03.04.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 25 International Arges 1-2 Rapid Bucuresti
21.03.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 23 International Arges 2-1 Gloria Bistrita
13.03.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 21 International Arges 0-0 Pandurii Tg. Jiu
Ceahlaul Piatra-Neamt (17th) W-6 D-10 L-15 26:47
Ceahlaul won the game against Craiova in a thrilling final, when their hosts missed a great opportunity to score in the 90th minute at 1-1 and Ceahlaul managed to took the lead and the three points on the very same counter-attack following Craiova’s miss.
These points keeps them mathematically in the battle for avoiding relegation, however their mission is almost impossible. Same as International, their schedule in the last 2 stages is infernal, with games against Urziceni and CFR Cluj, the teams that are fighting for the title.
Any other result than a victory would practically mean that they will go back to Liga 2, after just one year in the first league. Ceahlaul only has two victories on the road and a record of 2-5-8 with a negative goal difference of 12-23.
In the first game between them last autumn, they drew 2-2.
Ceahlaul last 5 away results :
01.05.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 30 FC Vaslui 1-0 Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
16.04.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 28 Apulum Alba Iulia 3-2 Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
08.04.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 26 Rapid Bucuresti 1-1 Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
28.03.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 24 Gloria Bistrita 1-0 Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
17.03.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 22 Pandurii Tg. Jiu 0-0 Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt
The Betting Verdict :
This is a decisive game for both teams but Ceahlaul finds themselves in major difficulty, without real chances to actually escape relegation. International on the other hand needs all points to build a solid difference between them and their followers.
I think International has good chances to win this game, there is just a small probability of a draw I would definitely exclude an away win.
However I think the best bet here would be more than two goals, the odds took my eye and I think there is a good probability that both teams will take higher risks than usually because it’s a decisive game for them.
The Pick :
International Arges 2-1 Ceahlaul Piatra-Neamt
