MLB Baseball
2012-06-29 - Philadelphia Phillie at Miami Marlins
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Baseball : North America : MLB
Friday, June 29th, 2012, 7:10PM US
(12:10PM GMT)
STATS :
Philadelphia : Total 36-42 :: Road 19-18 :: Streak Lost 2
Miami : Total 35-40 :: Home 19-22 :: Streak Won 1
PREVIEW
The Miami Marlins went 21-8 in May but have gone the other way in what is proving to be a very bad month of June. So far, Miami are 6-18 this calendar month, and have lost 8 of their last 10. They welcome the Phillies tonight to open a 3 game series.
The Phillies have Cliff Lee on the hill today, looking for his first win. In 12 starts the southpaw has gone 0-4 with a 3.72ERA so maybe 13 will be a lucky number for him. The lack of wins are clearly down to his team not scoring enough, as you can tell from his ERA. Bear in mind, Lee has not lost in any of his 6 starts on the road, getting a no decision each time.
Lee has faced the Miami Marlins 5 times in his career, with impressive stats, going 2-0 with a 2.31ERA.
The Marlins have Josh Johnson pitching for them today. The right-handed hurler is 4-5 with a 3.96ERA. He has already pitched against the Phillies this year, and took a massive beating. That outing saw him get thumped for 6 runs on 11 hits in under 4 innings of work! The Phillies have already had a look at him, which gives them the advantage, but the fact that they roughed him up means there is also a psychological edge.
Johnson is 5-4 with a 3.68ERA in 15 career appearances against Philadelphia, of which 13 were starts.
BETTING VERDICT
I'm going with Lee to end his barren run. The pitching has been solid, and I'll take the Phillies to finally win with him pitching. The underdog price is full of value and means we simply must get involved.
The Pick :
Phillies to win
