NFL Football
2025-11-09 - New York Giants at Chicago Bears
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
United States : NFL Week 10
Sunday 9th November 2025 - Scheduled 1pm
6pm (British Time)
Preview
A dramatic win that was harder than it should have been has just allowed the Chicago Bears (5-3) to close the gap to the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions in the NFC North. This is a really competitive Division with none of the four teams having a losing record, but it is important for the Bears to focus on themselves in Ben Johnson's first year as Head Coach.
Next up is a home game against the injury hit New York Giants (2-7) who are almost certainly going to be making changes in the Head Coach position at the end of the season.
Brian Daboll has not really had the tools to avoid being in line for a third straight losing year as the Head Coach of the Giants, but that is unlikely to be enough to save his job.
Rookie Quarter Back Jaxson Dart has given the fans something to hold onto, while another rookie Cam Skattebo had really earned himself some cult support before going down with an injury. Malik Nabers is already out and that has left Dart in a tough spot, although the Quarter Back continues to play with real confidence in his own ability.
Jaxson Dart has not reached 200 passing yards in his last two games, but he does have 3 Touchdown passes without throwing a single Interception, while the Quarter Back never shies away from tucking the ball and running for yards on the ground. He will certainly take real belief out of the issues the Chicago Bears have had in stopping the pass in recent games, although Jaxson Dart won't have everything in his favour.
For example, the Bears Defensive Line have picked up their play in recent outings and they will feel they can control the Line of Scrimmage. The Bears will have to keep one eye on Jaxson Dart and make sure the running lanes are not left open for the rookie, but controlling the usual run will just give Chicago an opportunity to unleash the pass rush and make sure some of the New York drives are stalled.
Things will feel very different on the other side of the ball with the Chicago Offensive Line likely to set up opportunities to rip off some huge gains on the ground. D'Andre Swift may not be able to suit up again, but the Bears have shown they can use the 'next man up' and still have some big rushing gains, while Quarter Back Caleb Williams has shown he is getting more and more comfortable within the system.
Chicago should constantly be in third and manageable spots considering the lack of strength the Giants have shown at the Line of Scrimmage.
And that should make it all the more comfortable when Caleb Williams does step back to throw the ball down the field- the Giants Secondary passing numbers in recent games have looked decent, but that is because they have been pummelled on the ground and teams have simply not had to go to the air for long yardage plays.
Caleb Williams has been given plenty of protection too and the Chicago Bears look capable of backing up the win over the Cincinnati Bengals, even if they had to spend a lot of emotional energy in a game filled with drama.
They do have the Minnesota Vikings on deck, but the Bears have spoken about keeping focused and Williams is 6-2 against the spread after a win.
Since the start of the 2023 season, the Giants are just 7-13 against the spread as the road underdog and the Chicago Bears may just have too much Offensive firepower and consistency for the road team.
Prediction
Lay the points with the home favourite.
The Pick :
Chicago Bears 27-17 New York Giants
