Tennis BETTING PREVIEW - Flavio Cobolli vs Novak Djokovic

Tennis

2025-07-09 - Flavio Cobolli vs Novak Djokovic

A Sports Betting Preview by FirstDown

Flavio Cobolli vs Novak Djokovic
Tennis: Wimbledon Quarter Final
Wednesday 9th July 2025 - Scheduled 3:30pm (British Time)

---

Preview

There have been plenty of upsets and surprising runs in the Ladies tournament at Wimbledon in 2025, but there have been one or two names that have arrived in the last eight of the Men's event that would have surprised too.

One of those is Flavio Cobolli, despite being a Seed, and the young Italian has made it through to the second week of any Grand Slam for the first time. He then got the better of an experienced player in Marin Cilic in the Fourth Round to reach the Quarter Final and that meant plenty of emotions were on display from his father and brother.

Jannik Sinner may be the poster boy of Italian tennis and there have been players like Jasmine Paolini and Matteo Berrettini who have had considerable successes, and that will be a source of inspiration for Flavio Cobolli. Some have suggested that Cobolli has not always focused on his tennis, but he looks to be locked in now and he is at a career best World Ranking with more to come next Monday.

The key for the younger player is to make sure he focuses on his own tennis- there has to be some improvement in the service numbers if Flavio Cobolli is going to earn the upset and it is so important not to be overawed by taking on a seven time Wimbledon Champion and someone who has won twenty-four Majors.

Flavio Cobolli does know Novak Djokovic and will have practiced with him (and his son), but it is a different experience in a competitive environment on a show court, having not played on Centre or Court One before. In their sole previous meeting last year on the hard courts of Shanghai, the Italian managed to win just three games and the mental battle is going to be just as important as anything happening on the court.

The World Number 24 has served well in the tournament, but it should be noted that half of the four wins have been against players Ranked outside of the top 200 and one of the other wins was against veteran Marin Cilic.

Facing Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon is a very different challenge, even if the seven time Champion was not at his very best in the win over Alex De Minaur in the Fourth Round. The Serb was not that comfortable in the conditions nor with the movement and defensive capabilities of De Minaur, but Novak Djokovic should be much happier on Wednesday in warmer and what is forecasted to be much calmer conditions.

The serve was not working nearly as well as Novak Djokovic would have hoped, but the first three Rounds showed he is still very capable behind that shot.

You cannot expect Djokovic to come out as poorly as he did in the last Round, especially with the whole day being more to his liking in terms of the wind. He will be looking to put the Italian under pressure with his own return and if Novak Djokovic is serving back at the level we have seen through the first three Rounds, he should be able to contain much of the threat from the other side of the net.

The match up may be a bit more to Novak Djokovic's liking with Flavio Cobolli looking to hit the ball with more power compared with Alex De Minaur, but that also means likely to make more errors against the best defensive player of all time.

Covering this mark will not be easy for Novak Djokovic, but it is a huge test for an inexperienced opponent and that could see Flavio Cobolli fall away in at least one of the sets played. He will likely enjoy moments of success with the big game he can bring onto the court, but Djokovic has seen most of what his opponent will look to do and he can find the solutions to move through with some relative comfort.

Prediction

Lay the games with the former seven time Champion.

The Pick :

Flavio Cobolli 0-3 Novak Djokovic

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

I'll back Novak Djokovic - 7.5 Games at 2.10 with Bet365