Tennis BETTING PREVIEW - Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur

Tennis

2025-11-13 - Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur

A Sports Betting Preview by FirstDown

#6 Taylor Fritz vs #7 Alex De Minaur
Tennis: ATP Finals Group Stage
Thursday 13th November 2025 - Scheduled 2:30pm
1:30pm (British Time)

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Preview

The final placings in this Group at the ATP Finals will be decided on Thursday and all four players are still able to make it through to the Semi Final of the tournament with a single match to play.

This is rarely the case at the end of year Championships, but the permutations are obviously easier for some players compared with others.

Alex De Minaur has been very open about his admitting his frustrations having led Lorenzo Musetti 5-3 in the final set on Tuesday and looking on course to eliminate the Italian. Instead it was De Minaur who has been left on the edge of elimination after losing four games in a row to lose the match and be pushed to the bottom of the Group.

The only saving grace for Alex De Minaur is that he won a set in that match- he admitted to the press that the frustration of throwing away another winning position has been getting to him, but winning that set means the Australian can move through to the Semi Final with a straight sets win and a defeat for Musetti in the other match in the Group.

Of course the immediate pressure is on Alex De Minuar to win this match in straight sets and you do have to worry about his emotions and how locked in he is going to be if he does drop a set in this final Group match.

His opponent is Taylor Fritz who beat Lorenzo Musetti to open the Group, but was not able to built on winning the first set tie-breaker in the eventual loss to Carlos Alcaraz. The situation is much clearer for the World Number 6 who will know that he will be playing in the Semi Final on Saturday if he wins this match.

In fact, Taylor Fritz has even more control over his own fate.

He can even afford to lose this match in three sets and go through, although the obvious concern there will be Lorenzo Musetti upsetting Carlos Alcaraz later on.

With that in mind, Taylor Fritz should be able to play with more clarity throughout the time on the court- no matter what happens in the first hour, Fritz will be concentrating on winning the match, whereas Alex De Minaur's own concentration could be adversely affected if he loses either of the first two sets and knows his time in Turin is coming to a conclusion.

Out of the two players, Taylor Fritz has been playing with a bit more overall belief in his tennis and he has put together the stronger numbers.

Alex De Minaur had regularly been getting the better of Taylor Fritz in the head to head, but the latter has been turning that around and has won the last two meetings between the players. They have not met in the 2025 season, but Taylor Fritz did beat Alex De Minaur here in the Group Stage twelve months ago having come from a set behind on that occasion when edging the bigger points.

This time it could be tougher for Alex De Minaur to stay mentally checked into the contest and Taylor Fritz can move into the Knock Out Rounds again at this end of year tournament.

Prediction

Lay the games with the 2024 Runner Up in this important Group match.

The Pick :

Taylor Fritz 2-1 Alex De Minaur

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

I'll back Taylor Fritz - 2.5 Games at 1.66 with BetFred