NCAA Football BETTING PREVIEW - Oklahoma Sooners @ Alabama Crimson Tide

NCAA Football

2025-11-15 - Oklahoma Sooners at Alabama Crimson Tide

A Sports Betting Preview by FirstDown

Oklahoma Sooners @ Alabama Crimson Tide
United States : College Football Week 12
Saturday 15th November 2025 - Scheduled 3:30pm
8:30pm (British Time)

---

Preview

There is a chance that the Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1) can secure their place in the SEC Championship Game at the end of Week 12, but they will need to maintain the unbeaten record in the Conference.

No one will be taking anything for granted, even after putting together an eight game winning run, and especially as it has not been forgotten how the Crimson Tide were crushed in Norman twelve months ago.

Alabama are on course to return to the College Football Playoff and were Number 4 in the latest Rankings released, but the Oklahoma Sooners (7-2) are still hoping they can do enough to impress the Committee and earn a spot of their own. They came out of the latest Rankings at Number 11, but the Sooners know that they will need to be inside the top ten come the end of the season if they are going to be involved in the twelve team post-season picture.

This is the key game for the Sooners, who finish off the season against the Missouri Tigers and LSU Tigers in home games.

They kept themselves alive by beating the Tennessee Volunteers on the road in Week 10 and Oklahoma are coming out of a Bye Week. Any team in that position at this stage of the regular season could be very dangerous and the Oklahoma Sooners will have studied tape from the win over Alabama in 2024 and look for the little creases that could turn this game in their favour.

Both teams are going to have some challenges to move the ball with some consistency.

The Sooners will be looking for the Offensive Line to try and win at the Line of Scrimmage against what has been another tough Alabama Defensive Line. Performances going into the Bye Week would have offered Oklahoma encouragement in the way the Offensive Line was playing, but over the course of the season it has been tough for them up front and that has shifted the pressure onto Quarter Back John Mateer.

Big expectations have been carried by John Mateer since arriving from the Washington State Cougars, and he does offer a dual-threat from the Quarter Back position. However, he has not really reached the same level produced in 2024 in a tougher Conference and schedule and Mateer may have issues if he is being forced to throw out of third and long spots on the field.

If running the ball is going to be a challenge for the Wisconsin Badgers, it is going to be doubly difficult for the Alabama Crimson Tide.

All season the Crimson Tide have not been able to do enough on the ground and that remains a concern for them and their chances to win another National Championship. They are not expected to get much joy in this one against the strength of the Badgers Defensive unit, but Alabama will still believe they can do enough Offensively to win the game.

Much of that confidence comes from having Ty Simpson at Quarter Back who is close to 2500 passing yards and who has thrown 21 Touchdown passes with a single Interception this season.

As much as the Sooners have impressed with their ability to play the run, the Secondary had been struggling before the Bye Week and allowing an average of almost 300 passing yards per game in the last three SEC games played. Head Coach Brent Venables will have had his Coaches working to improve on those numbers, especially when facing Simpson and company in Tuscaloosa, but it is an area that the home team can find the edge needed.

Brent Venables has struggled to get his team going when they are facing an opponent playing with revenge and the Sooners are just 5-9 against the spread in that spot.

Oklahoma are only 5-4 against the spread as the road underdog during this Head Coach's tenure and the suggestion is that the Alabama Crimson Tide can just show enough consistency in the passing game to edge to the cover of this spread.

Prediction

Lay the points with the home favourite in this important SEC game.

The Pick :

Alabama Crimson Tide 28-20 Oklahoma Sooners

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

I'll back Alabama Crimson Tide - 5.5 Points at -110 with Bovada