ITALIAN SERIE A BETTING PREVIEW - ATALANTA VS CREMONESE

Italian Serie A

2026-02-09 - Atalanta vs Cremonese

A Sports Betting Preview by Cafa

Atalanta v Cremonese
Italy Serie A - Round 24
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Bergamo, Lombardy, Italy (21,747)
Monday, 09 February 2026, 18:30 CET
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Atalanta Team News

Atalanta just won 3-0 against Juventus in the cup on Thursday, despite having inferior xG, but it always looked like Atalanta will win it. They made scoring look easy. It remains to be seen whether that will continue to be the case now that they've sold their best offensive played Ademola Lookman to Atletico Madrid. Based on what we've seen when he's absent, as was the case with the recent African Cup of Nations, Atalanta's offense stutters to a halt.

This is still a good side and you'll see them win often. It's just that they've given up their ambition to become a Champions League team soon, with Lookman gone. It's rebuild mode now and other players will have to step up.

To illustrate the point, Atalanta recently lost to Athletic Bilbao and Royale Union SG. This Atalanta is, more than anything, a flat track bully that beats inferior teams through offensive movement and passing alone.

Cremonese Team News

Earlier in the season we had a good opinion on Cremonese and we even placed a few bets on them. They were a tough-defending team with good direct counter attacks and a severely underrated forward in Bonazzoli. Then it got a bit better when they brought in Vardy too.

But then it simply stopped working, whether it be due to something Cremonese are doing differently, or due to other teams having enough time to prepare good tactics against them.

Now, in last 8 matches, Cremonese failed to score in 7. The only time when they did was in a 2-2 home draw with Cagliari. The points tally is still good enough to keep Cremonese safe and they'll probably find a way to stay in this league with a few more wins - they're on 23 points and 34 to 36 is usually enough to stay up - but it's safe to expect a long streak of losses, briefly interrupted with a shocking win here and there.

Probable Lineups

Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi - De Roon, Hien, Kolasinac - Zappacosta, Pasalic, Ederson, Bernasconi - De Ketelaere, Maldini - Krstovic. Coach Palladino.

Cremonese (3-5-2): Audero - F.Terracciano, Baschirotto, Bianchetti - Barbieri, Zerbin, Grassi, Johnsen, Pezzella - Vardy, Bonazzoli. Coach Nicola.

The Betting Market

Not only that we won't get rich from 1.38 on Atalanta, but we wouldn't advise considering it a banker either. Atalanta is unstable, as evidenced by the recent 1-1 in Pisa.

Over 2.5 Goals is the surprising favourite at 1.72 - do the bookmakers expect Cremonese to contribute to the totals or do they see this is a 3-0? - and all the value would be on the Under for 2.10.

Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 2.00, with 1.75 for the much more likely NO option. We can boost this further to 2.20 if we take Atalanta to Win To Nil.

The Betting Verdict

As this is a 1.38 football match, the trick to unlocking profits here is to decide if it makes sense to bet on Cremonese to score or not. If you think they'll score then Over and BTTS-Yes are obvious choices. If you think they won't score, then the value is on BTTS-No and on Atalanta to Win To Nil, as well as on Under 2.5 Goals.

We think there's a reasonable chance Atalanta will keep a clean sheet, and Bet365 has that bet specifically, for the price of 1.90. Let's go with that. Cremonese will have their chances, but Atalanta certainly has more than the implied 52.6% chance to keep a clean sheet here.

The Pick :

Atalanta 1-0 Cremonese

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Take Atalanta Clean Sheet at 1.90 at Bet365