Italian Serie A

2026-04-10 - AS Roma vs Pisa

A Sports Betting Preview by Cafa

Roma v Pisa
Italy Serie A - Round 32
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Lazio, Italy (70,634)
Friday, 10 April 2026, 20:45 CET
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Roma Team News


Roma's season is collapsing as this side won only once in last five matches - a home 1-0 win against Lecce - and any kind of European football next season is in danger as Atalanta threatens to take the last remaining European spot that Roma currently occupies. Atalanta is a point behind at 53 points, Roma has 54, and Juventus and Como are at 57 and 58 respectively.

In the meanwhile, Roma also managed to get knocked out of the Europa League by none other than Bologna, as following a 1-1 result in the first leg in Bologna the score was 3-3 in Rome and Bologna scored for 3-4 in extra time to advance to the quarter-finals.

If we look at last 10 matches, we won't find a better performance by Roma than in the last 5. As a matter of fact, Roma only won three times in last 10 Serie A rounds, and all of these wins were at home against relegation candidates, all of them to-nil. We'd have to go way back to find a situation where Roma hasn't won at home against a small team. That's one thing they do perfectly.

Pisa Team News


Pisa is the worst team in the league and will get mathematically relegated soon. There are seven rounds to go and Pisa is nine points behind Cremonese, the first safe team, with an inferior goal difference so it's actually ten points that Pisa must win. After this round, they'll be playing four direct competitors: Genoa, Parma, Lecce and Cremonese, and they basically need to win all four matches to stand even a slight chance of staying in Serie A. Here, they'll be searching for a point, most likely through die-hard defending -- definitely not by playing offensive football.

Probable Lineups


Roma (3-4-2-1): Svilar - Ghilardi, Ndicka, Hermoso - Celik, Cristante, Pisilli, Rensch - Pellegrini, Soule - Malen. Coach Gasperini.

Pisa (3-5-2): Šemper - Caracciolo, Canestrelli, Calabresi - Leris, Aebischer, Hojholt, Akisanmiro, Angori - Moreo, Durosinmi. Coach Gilardino.

The Betting Market


Roma is priced at 1.35 and this is actually quite generous. Roma wins at home, period, and this particular visitor is not only very weak but out of form. Pisa's 0-8-7 away record indicates that they know how to spoil the party, but their last two away outings were the 4-0 defeat to Juventus and the 5-0 defeat to Como.

The Over/Under 2.5 Goals market is split down the middle at 1.90, and the Both Teams To Score: NO is the favoured option at 1.57, which suggests that Roma will be the only team that will be doing the scoring here, and it's a question whether they'll score enough to make the game go Over 2.5.

The Betting Verdict


Roma to Win To Nil is a decent bet at 1.90, and the record shows that this is the most likely outcome of Roma's home matches against minnows. Lately they've played Sassuolo, Cagliari, Cremonese and Lecce, and won all of these matches to nil. However, we must note that we've used this particular bet against Pisa before and it hasn't worked out -- teams in Italy like to score when least expected to.

However, as Roma lost 5-2 to Inter in the previous round, we think there will be a renewed focus on defending as they'll still be hurt by conceding 5 goals. They'll want to keep things tight here.

The Pick :

Roma 2-0 Pisa

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Take Roma to Win To Nil at 1.90 at Bet365

 

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