UEFA NATIONS BETTING PREVIEW - PORTUGAL VS DENMARK

UEFA Nations

2026-11-14 - Portugal vs Denmark

A Sports Betting Preview by Auls

Portugal v Denmark
Football: UEFA Nations League Group Stage Match Day 5
Saturday 14th November 2026 - Kick Off 7:45pm
This game is live on TV

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Portugal

Everyone would have hoped for a different ending to Cristiano Ronaldo's international career, but the superstar striker has never accepted the fact that no one has ever gotten the better of Father Time. The last international window saw Ronaldo walk out when new manager Jorge Jesus announced he would not be starting on Match Day 3 and, just days before the November international break, the famous Number 7 called time on his Portugal career.

No one would be surprised if there is a reversal of that decision some time in the months before Euro 2028 begins, but for now Portugal will move on. It has helped Jorge Jesus that his team have won all 4 Nations League games to become the first to book a spot in the Quarter Final of the competition and 3 of those wins have been without Cristiano Ronaldo's involvement, including beating Norway twice.

Portugal were beaten in the Last 16 at the last World Cup and exited Euro 2024 in the Quarter Finals, but they are the only two time Nations League Champions and are the defending Champions. They have won all 4 Nations League games since losing to Spain in North America in the summer, while Portugal have been dominant in competitive home games. Portugal have won twice at home in this Nations League Group and have won the last 7 in front of the supporters in this competition.

A strong Portugal squad have come together for the two Nations League games to be played this month.

Denmark

Two wins over Wales has put Denmark in the driving seat to join Portugal in the Quarter Final of the Nations League, but there is still some pressure on the squad to show they belong with the elite of the UEFA Confederation. Failing to reach the World Cup Finals this past summer will continue to sting, and Denmark likely need at least two points to Qualify for the next Round.

If Norway beat Wales in the other fixture in this Group, Denmark will know they have done enough to earn a top Seed for the Euro 2028 Qualifying draw and that may release some tension. However, that is also the worst result in their bid to finish 2nd in this Group having already been beaten by both Portugal and Norway.

Denmark have won 3 of the last 8 competitive fixtures played, but have been beaten 3 times in that run and also lost a Penalty Shoot Out in the World Cup Play Off tie against Czechia. They had not won any of 3 away competitive games and had lost twice in that run, but Denmark managed to score a late Penalty to win 0-1 in Cardiff on Match Day 4 of the Nations League.

Andreas Christensen refused to be called up having only recently returning from injury, but Patrick Dorgu is with the squad.

Head to Head

Denmark twice pegged Portugal back before being beaten 2-4 at home on Match Day 3 of this Nations League Group.

Portugal have won the last 3 home competitive fixtures against Denmark, including beating them 5-2 in the Nations League Quarter Final in March 2025. That Second Leg ended 3-2 in regulation time before Portugal added the goals to make it through on their way to picking up the trophy for a second time.

Prediction

All eyes will be on Portugal after announcing a squad without Cristiano Ronaldo, who has officially retired from the international stage.

Things could change, as they tend to do around the likes of Ronaldo and Lionel Messi, but Jorge Jesus has made it clear that it is his way or the highway.

For a long time fans have wondered if Ronaldo is holding Portugal back and they scored 8 goals in beating Norway (twice) and Denmark without Number 7 in the lineup. That may give those fans a reason to believe Ronaldo was a problem, but all Jorge Jesus will want to do is make sure his team continue winning games.

Despite losing a player who has scored 146 goals for his country, Portugal still have plenty of firepower to call upon and have already proved that. They will create chances at home and this is going to be a very tough test for a Denmark team who have not looked completely at ease after failing to Qualify for the World Cup Finals.

Wins over Wales have given them a chance to make it through to the Nations League Quarter Final again, but Denmark have been second best in the games lost against Norway and Portugal.

The home defeat to Portugal was particularly poor and Denmark may struggle to prevent the Group leaders from overpowering them again.

Portugal have won 3 in a row at home against Denmark, including a high-scoring win in the Nations League Quarter Final Second Leg a little over eighteen months ago. They should be able to score at least twice in another winning effort against the Danes and move a little further beyond Cristiano Ronaldo before concluding this Group Stage next week.

The Pick :

Portugal 3-1 Denmark

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

I'll back Portugal to Win & Over 1 Total Goals (Bet Builder) at 1.70 with Bet365 (early payout if a team is leading by two goals)