English Premier
2021-11-06 - Chelsea vs Burnley
A Sports Betting Pick by Auls
Football: English Premier League
Saturday 6th November 2021 - Kick Off 3pm
Chelsea
One more point is going to be good enough for Chelsea to progress to the Last 16 of the Champions League, but they will have a couple of big games coming up if they are going to finish in top spot. Thomas Tuchel will focus on those after the November international break, but his main focus this week is to keep the pressure on the title rivals in the Premier League by securing another three points.
Last weekend was a very good one for Chelsea who beat Newcastle United at the same time that Liverpool and Manchester City were dropping home points. Those results mean Chelsea are top of the Premier League and with a 3 point lead over their rivals and with a chance to extend that gap on Saturday afternoon. The Blues have a 4-0-1 record at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League where they have scored 16 goals and conceded 2.
Chelsea had to dig in and battle harder than expected in the 0-1 win over Malmo on Tuesday, but it keeps the positive results coming for a club who have some big games to come after the two week break. They needed Penalties to beat Southampton here in the League Cup Fourth Round, but Chelsea had won 3 in a row at Stamford Bridge prior to that, including a 7-0 win over Norwich City in their last Premier League game at Stamford Bridge.
Mason Mount is hoping to be passed fit as he recovers from an illness, while Mateo Kovacic, Romelu Lukaku and Timo Werner are hoping to return to action in the next Premier League weekend. Thomas Tuchel will likely make some changes to his starting eleven after Reece James and Ben Chilwell were rested for the Champions League win over Malmo.
Burnley
You may not be relegated in November, but the longer you have to wait for a first League win the harder it becomes to avoid the drop. With that in mind it was very important for Burnley to beat Brentford last weekend and it is a result that keeps them in touch with the teams above them before a very difficult test for the team before the November internationals.
The win over Brentford means Burnley are 18th in the Premier League table, but they are now just 3 points behind 15th placed Aston Villa and with a more appealing fixture list to come after this visit to West London. The side have a 0-2-3 record away from home in the Premier League where Burnley have scored 5 goals and conceded 11.
Burnley had not won a Premier League game since the 10th of May before the victory over Brentford, a run of 12 games. They have drawn 2 of their last 3 away Premier League games at Leicester City and Southampton, but Burnley have conceded at least twice in all 5 away Premier League games played this season.
Dale Stephens is expected to miss out, but Sean Dyche looks to have a fully fit squad to choose from outside of that one player.
Head to Head
Chelsea did the Premier League double over Burnley last season having recorded comfortable wins home and away.
They did have a relatively poor home record against Burnley, but Chelsea have won their last 2 at Stamford Bridge against them.
Prediction
The machine keeps rumbling forward at Chelsea under the guidance of Thomas Tuchel and they are expected to produce another three points on a weekend when their main title rivals have difficult looking away games.
The manager made it clear last weekend that he does not celebrate his rivals dropping points, but instead is focused on making sure Chelsea look after themselves. It has worked for a team that have won 6 of their last 7 games in all competitions in normal time and look on the brink of progressing to another Champions League Last 16.
Chelsea have won 6 of their last 8 Premier League games at Stamford Bridge with the exceptions being defeats to Arsenal and Manchester City. That is something that will bother Tuchel and he will be reminding his players of the importance of making sure they remain focused with his lowest point as manager of the club being a 2-5 home defeat to West Brom.
In the main Chelsea have been very good at both ends of the field and they should have too much for a Burnley team who have conceded at least twice in all 5 away Premier League games played this season.
Burnley are coming in off an important home win over Brentford, perhaps their best performance of the season by some distance, while they have recently drawn 2-2 at Leicester City and Southampton. However, Burnley were beaten 2-0 at both Liverpool and Manchester City this season and their last 2 visits to Stamford Bridge have resulted in comfortable defeats too.
The home team may be without their top two striking options, but that hasn't stopped Chelsea piling up 10 goals in their last 2 Premier League games. They should be able to create chances against this Burnley team who have been giving up some big opportunities and it would be a surprise if Chelsea cannot match the margin of wins that their two main title rivals secured in home wins against this opponent.
You have to say that Burnley have nothing to lose and they can cause problems for teams, but Chelsea look really strong at the moment and I think they will likely win this one by a couple of goals on the day.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Chelsea 2-0 Burnley
