Italian Serie A
2024-10-19 - Juventus vs Lazio
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 8
Allianz Stadium, Torino, Piedmont, Italy (41,507)
Saturday, 21st September 2024, 18:00 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Juventus Team News
Juventus could arguably be the most boring team to watch in Serie A this season. They were always constipated, but now when Thiago Motta arrived, things got even worse.
Juventus is keeping the ball a lot now, courtesy of fluid team movement, but as opposed to what Bologna played, Juventus isn't finding the openings. Or when they do find them they're not expertly finished as, let's be honest, Joshua Zirkzee is a better striker than Dusan Vlahovic.
All this is resulting in a team that can't concede but is also finding it very difficult to score. Juventus only conceded one goal so far, the penalty kick against Cagliari in the last round.
Lazio Team News
There is no game in this season in which Lazio failed to score. Think about that - Juventus failed to score in three. Lazio scored 12 goals in their last four matches, for an average of 3.0. Sure, the opponents were weak, but still, it's a telltale sign of a functioning offense.
When you watch Lazio play, it seems as if the magic incredient that was lacking for almost two seasons is now finally back. Now they got some athletic players who play first-touch football, and all of a sudden Lazio is a menace on the ball.
Probable Lineups
Juventus (4-1-4-1): Di Gregorio - Savona, Gatti, Kalulu, Cabal - Thuram - Cambiaso, Locatelli, Douglas Luiz, Yildiz - Vlahovic. Coach Motta.
Lazio (4-2-3-1): Provedel - Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Tavares - Guendouzi, Rovella - Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni - Castellanos. Coach Baroni.
Lots of absences in Juventus, starting with Koopmeiners and Nico Gonzalez. But Thuram is fully fit so he'll handle the defensive midfield on his own.
The Betting Market
Juventus is the favourite, as you'd expect, and the price is 2.19.
The bookmakers are expecting a really low-scoring game, with an almost unprecedented 1.53 for Under 2.5 Goals while you can get whopping 2.50 if you believe the game is going Over.
The Both Teams To Score market is giving us 2.05 for Yes and 1.70 for No. Meaning, the bookmakers are expecting 1-0 or a 1-1 if Lazio manages to score, but not 2-1.
The Betting Verdict
We tend to agree with the bookmakers' assessment of this game. Juventus indeed tends to keep derbies low-scoring, they end 0-0 or 1-0 in their favour. We've also seen Lazio capable of playing like that in derbies, to everyone's surprise.
But we still want to place a bet that goes against the grain here, as we think this Lazio side is underappreciated. They got excellent offensive players that are almost too good for this league, and this is just starting to show.
We believe Lazio will score here more than we trust Juventus to do the same. You'll find a bet on Lazio to score in the Goals section at Bet365, either as Team Total Goals - Lazio - Over 0.5 or as Clean Sheet - Juventus - No. Let's bet on Juventus to concede their second goal of the season.
The Pick :
Juventus 1-1 Lazio
