Italian Serie A
2024-10-30 - Juventus vs Parma
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 10
Allianz Stadium, Torino, Piedmont, Italy (41,507)
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 20:45 CET
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Juventus Team News
Juventus played a crazy game with Inter and fought back from 4-2 and two soft penalty kicks - they call them rigorino in Italy, a diminutive of rigore - and won a point with 4-4, courtesy of two Yildiz goals. Juventus was inferior in that match and should have lost. Thiago Motta said as much.
But not all is lost - Juventus got an important point and prevented Inter from pulling away like Napoli already did, and can now fully come back into the scudetto race if they win here. Especially if Napoli and/or Inter do not.
Parma Team News
For three consecutive rounds now, Parma is playing low-scoring games. This probably means that the wildly offensive days are behind this side, as they had to switch focus to something a bit more ordinary after their offensive ways failed to bring them as much points as they hoped. That being said, Parma missed a spot kick for 2-1 against Empoli so that's why the game had only two goals.
But it's clear that the chances for Parma are fewer now than in the beginning of the season, because that's what the team had to resort to in order to reduce the number of clear-cut goalscoring chances they're surrendering on the other end.
Probable Lineups
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Perin - Savona, Gatti, Danilo, Cabal - Locatelli, Thuram - Cambiaso, Fagioli, Yildiz - Vlahovic. Coach Motta.
Parma (4-2-3-1): Suzuki - Coulibaly, Delprato, Balogh, Valeri - Mandela Keita, Sohm - Man, Bernabe, Mihaila - Bonny. Coach Pecchia.
Nico Gonzalez, Douglas Luiz and Teun Koopmeiners are still out for Juventus, but Khephren Thuram is fully fit.
The Betting Market
Juventus is priced at 1.43 to take the points here, identical to their recent outing against Cagliari, that ended 1-1 because the visitors equalized near the end.
A goal fest is expected by the bookmakers as the price on Over 2.5 Goals is 1.72 while the Under is priced at 2.10. We think the match will lean towards the Under.
The Betting Verdict
Juventus doesn't score easily. Most of the time they still only manage to score one goal at home, although on two separate occasions this season they scored three. Inept Como lost 3-0, and far too open PSV lost 3-1.
We can expect yet another classic performance by Juventus, where they'll pass the ball around endlessly and manage to score once or twice. We're not expecting a goal fest as Parma wisened up lately and closed down the defensive corridors.
The Bet365 Bet Builder is giving us a great chance to boost the 1.43 price on Juventus win by combining it with an Under bet. If you pick Under 3.5 Goals the combined price would be 2.10, which is superb value, but we'll play it safe with an Under 4.5.
We win with every positive result for Juventus up to 4-0 or 3-1.
You can also consider Juventus Win To Nil for 2.25, but this Bet Builder combo is much more fun.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Juventus 2-0 Parma
