Italian Serie A
2024-11-09 - Juventus vs Torino
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 12
Allianz Stadium, Torino, Piedmont, Italy (41,507)
Saturday, 9 November 2024, 20:45 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Juventus Team News
Juventus won only twice in last seven competitive outings, but only lost once, too. This means that Juventus is now more of a draw specialist than they ever were, and if Thiago Motta was brought to solve this problem, well, he only made it worse.
Juventus just came back from Lille with a 1-1 result that continues the struggles of Bianconeri in the new format of the Champions League. Before that, Juventus made light work of Udinese with a 0-2 score.
This is not a side you bet on with confidence, even when they're hosting a poor team.
Parma Team News
For three consecutive rounds now, Parma is playing low-scoring games. This probably means that the wildly offensive days are behind this side, as they had to switch focus to something a bit more ordinary after their offensive ways failed to bring them as much points as they hoped. That being said, Parma missed a spot kick for 2-1 against Empoli so that's why the game had only two goals.
But it's clear that the chances for Parma are fewer now than in the beginning of the season, because that's what the team had to resort to in order to reduce the number of clear-cut goalscoring chances they're surrendering on the other end.
Probable Lineups
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Perin - Savona, Gatti, Kalulu, Cambiaso - Locatelli, Thuram - Weah, Koopmeiners, Yildiz - Vlahovic. Coach Motta.
Torino (3-5-2): Milinkovic-Savic - Maripan, Coco, Masina - Pedersen, Vlasic, Ricci, Ilic, Lazaro - Sanabria, Adams. Coach Vanoli.
The Betting Market
We got two consecutive prices of 1.43 at home on Juventus, against Cagliari and Parma, and these backfired, the scores were 1-1 and 2-2 respectively. This isn't a good sign but at least now we get a price of 1.57.
A low-scoring game is expected, as indicated by the price of 2.20 on Both Teams To Score: Yes and on Over 2.5 Goals. If you think both will happen, then you can use the Bet365 Bet Builder to combine the two bets and you'll be rewarded with 2.87. There are worse value bets.
The Betting Verdict
You'll probably be most interested to hear about the H2H record of the Turin derby. Well, Torino doesn't win, ever. Their last win came 21 meetings ago, in 2015, and before that they didn't have a win since 1995.That's one win in last 38 meetings. Draws happen, but generally, Juventus shows Torino there's no real rivalry in Turin.
We think Juventus will win this one somehow, but we also think it's not worth our nerves. It seems better to exploit the bookmakers' dedication to a low-scoring result and say both teams will find the net.
Everyone scores against Juventus lately, and Torino might find a way to score through sheer effort alone. So let's go with that.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Juventus 2-1 Torino
