Spanish La Liga
2025-05-14 - Alaves vs Valencia
A Sports Betting Pick by Gladiator
Football: Spanish La Liga - Round 36
Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz), Spain
Wednesday, 14th May 2025 - Kick Off 19:00 CET
Alaves
Alaves find themselves in a precarious position heading into the final three rounds of the season. A narrow 1-0 loss to Athletic Club last weekend halted their three-match unbeaten run and left them hovering just above the relegation zone. However, they’ve built a reputation for being tough to beat at home, especially defensively, conceding more than once in just one of their last 12 home league outings.
The issue remains in the attack. Alaves have scored only three goals in their last nine home games, making them the second-lowest scoring home side in La Liga. Despite this, their record against Valencia is encouraging, with three wins and a draw from the last four H2Hs.
Valencia
Valencia, in stark contrast, have emerged as one of the league’s most improved teams since Carlos Corberán took over. After a dismal first half of the season, Los Che are now unbeaten in their last ten La Liga matches, pushing for a surprising European spot. Their most recent 3-0 dismantling of Getafe was their most convincing performance yet, showcasing both attacking flair and defensive discipline.
On the road, Valencia has been equally resilient, unbeaten in six away league matches. Their confidence is surging, and they will certainly consider this game a must-win if they are to maintain their European challenge.
The Betting Verdict
This match pits Alaves’ home grit against Valencia’s newfound rhythm. The hosts will likely adopt a compact, pragmatic approach, hoping to capitalise on set pieces or moments of transition. Valencia will enjoy more possession, but breaking down a deep block in a high-pressure environment could be their biggest challenge.
Alaves tend to grind out ugly results at home, and their desperation could give them the edge against a Valencia side with less urgency and more to lose.
While Valencia are the more in-form side, Alaves’ home resilience and H2H dominance suggest a possible upset. The value lies in siding with the hosts, who are likely to scrap for every inch in a must-win scenario.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Alaves 2-0 Valencia
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Alaves to Win at odds of 2.20 with Bet365
