Italian Serie A
2025-09-22 - Napoli vs Pisa
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 4
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Campania, Italy (54,726)
Monday, 22 September 2025, 20:45 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Napoli Team News
Upon winning all three Serie A matches they played so far, Napoli got humbled by out-of-form Manchester City 2-0, with the hosts greatly helped by a 21st-minute red card for Di Lorenzo. We reckon Napoli would have lost anyway, but like this at least they get to keep their spirits as they can say the defeat was due to them having to play with ten men.
Regardless of how Napoli players and coach feel about that Champions League debacle, they very well know what their job is here. To win four out of four and further distance themselves from other big sides that spilled points already. Napoli wants another title and everyone is aware that three points against Pisa matter as much as three points against Roma or Fiorentina.
Pisa Team News
Pisa just played against Udinese and lost 0-1 without even being an adequate opponent. Udinese looked like Juventus against this newly promoted side as Pisa failed to take the game to the opponent in any meaningful way. It was just damage control for ninety minutes.
That's saying all you need to know about Pisa. They scored one goal so far in three rounds, and conceded exactly once in each game. Even at home against Udinese's unreliable defence, Pisa couldn't cook anything up. This is a side that can bring the ball into the final third sometimes, but then they can't do anything with it. It takes a certain level of skill to score a goal in football, and Pisa players just don't have it.
Probable Lineups
Napoli (4-3-3): Meret - Di Lorenzo, Beukema, Buongiorno, Olivera - Anguissa, Gilmour, De Bruyne - Politano, Lucca, Neres. Coach Conte.
Pisa (3-5-2): Šemper - Canestrelli, Caracciolo, Bonifanti - Toure, Tramoni, Marin, Aebischer, Leris - Moreo, Nzola. Coach Gilardino.
Antonio Conte will field a more offensive eleven yet will give a much-needed rest to some important players, perhaps the central defender pair and McTominay.
The Betting Market
Napoli is priced at 1.29 at Bet365 and that's actually a ood price as most other bookmakers have this as a 1.27. And they're right to limit the damage caused by punters who bet their house on this. Napoli will win.
Both Teams To Score: NO is priced at ridiculously low 1.50, while at the same time Over 2.5 Goals is the slightly favoured option at 1.88 compared to 1.93 for the Under.
Meaning, it's only a matter of how many goals will Napoli score in a win-to-nil game. We agree with this assessment.
The Betting Verdict
So, how many goals will Napoli score? Pisa was so far able to contain all opponents they've faced, but frankly it's a combination of luck, defensive posture, bodies in the box, and opposing forwards that didn't really have a good day. Or these forwards didn't even reach the operating temperature because Pisa is so bad.
We think Napoli will score more than Pisa's other opponents did, and we think they will most likely stop at two. However, this could get ugly if Napoli find their rhythm, it can go to 5-0.
What we are fairly certain of is that Pisa won't score. The Win To Nil price seems short, 1.80, whereas it's usually above 2.00 for almost every game, but it was 1.90 in the season opener against Cagliari. We won that bet as Napoli won 1-0.
The Pick :
Napoli 2-0 Pisa
