Italian Serie A
2025-12-21 - Cagliari vs Pisa
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 16
Unipol Domus, Cagliari, Sardinia, Italy (16,416)
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 12:30 CET
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Cagliari Team News
As we keep saying, Cagliari is regressing towards a serious relegation candidate that's out of its depth in Serie A as we distance ourselves from the Ranieri era. It's becoming more and more obviuos this roster is limited and that it can only do something in this league with the aid of some brilliant coach.
Cagliari just got their first win since mid-September, against Roma of all sides, it was 1-0 and the goal was scored after the visitors were reduced to ten men. Other than that it's a long line of draws and defeats regardless of the opponent - Cagliari even lost at home to Sassuolo - but this one recent win was enough to propel Cagliari up to 15th spot.
Pisa Team News
What can we say about a team with no offensive talent whatsoever, whose only decent forward Nzola is away for AFCON? Pisa will likely look even worse on the pitch without him. This side shows up on the football pitch and wears football kits, but there's very few football moves that are being made here. It's mostly just the simplest of solutions and the simplest of defending. This no-nonsense approach is actually what keeps Pisa from losing big.
Pisa will get draws here and there due to sheer variance that comes from keeping the games tight, and may even win 1-0 here and there, but this is generally a side that you fade week after week, no matter the opponent or the venue. Pisa is at 1-7-7 and is deep in the relegation zone.
Probable Lineups
Cagliari (4-2-3-1): Caprile - Zappa, Mina, Rodriguez, Obert - Adopo, Deiola - Palestra, Gaetano, Folorunsho - S.Esposito. Coach Pisacane.
Pisa (3-5-2): Scuffet - Caracciolo, Calabresi, Canestrelli - Toure, Piccinini, Aebischer, Marin, Bonfanti - Tramoni, Meister. Coach Gilardino.
Cagliari is in trouble with attackers, as Belotti is now out for season and Borelli will be out for a week, and Luvumbo is at AFCON. This leaves Sebastiano Esposito as the only forward. Pisa will be without their best goalscorer Nzola who's at AFCON too.
The Betting Market
Cagliari is the favourite at 2.20 and this is indeed the most likely outcome of the three, if for nothing else then for the fact that Cagliari is the host and hosts tend to win this type of games. However, Cagliari is actually far better against the big teams - Roma comes to mind - than against fellow relegation candidates that come to Sardinia to defend deep.
The Under is expectedly priced at 1.57 and the bookmakers could have gone even lower. Both Teams To Score: NO is priced quite a bit higher, at 1.75.
The Betting Verdict
So where's the edge in this relegation six-pointer? Is it the expected low-scoring nature of the game, or is it the home advantage of Cagliari?
It's definitely the Under, as both sides will aim to win this 1-0, and all we need to win this bet is a boring first half. No shocking goals by the visitor please. If all goes according to plan, this will be a tight affair with not too much creative talent and a lot of bodies behind the ball. Unless the game erupts, and how could it with so many good strikers missing, this will be a low-scoring relegation duel.
The Pick :
Cagliari 1-0 Pisa
