Italian Serie A
2026-04-25 - Parma vs Pisa
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 34
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma, Emilia-Romagna, Italy (27,906)
Saturday, 25 April 2026, 15:00 CET
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Parma Team News
Parma grew as a team during the season, perhaps more than any other with the exception of Como. While they were considered a relegation candidate with an unclear playing style - no one knew if they're offensive- or defensive-minded - they eventually became a stable mid-table team with a defensive posture.
This Parma side is a completely different team to the offensive one from the season before that was full of young loanees.
Parma is coming off a three-game unbeaten run that includes 1-1 against Lazio, 1-1 against Napoli, and a 0-1 win at Udinese. That's Parma for you. A team that's very, very difficult to beat.
Pisa Team News
Pisa is going back to Serie B and they never really made their mark on Serie A this season. All they ever did was be a hard nut to crack, which means they played completely defensively and therefore made their matches unwatchable.
When one of the opponents is Pisa, you simply skip that match and try to find another one on TV. They didn't bring anything to the table at all.
Probable Lineups
Parma (5-3-2): Suzuki - Britschgi, Delprato, Circati, Valenti, Valeri - Bernabe, N.Caviglia, Keita - Strefezza, Ondrejka. Coach Cuesta.
Pisa (3-5-2): Šemper - Caracciolo, Canestrelli, Calabresi - Leris, Aebischer, Hojholt, Akisanmiro, Angori - Moreo, Durosinmi. Coach Gilardino.
The Betting Market
We get a huge price on Parma of 2.15 because these teams are supposedly both relegation candidates, or at least they were considered as such before the season started, but the gulf in quality is enormous.
Parma is a settled Serie A side that won 39 points, while Pisa never really got going and they have only 18 points and only two wins.
Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.66 and that's actually a valuable price. How can these two teams expected to produce a high-scoring game? No way. Both Teams To Score, priced at 1.95 for Yes and 1.80 for No, is best left alone.
The Betting Verdict
Parma is winning this. Pisa lost four in a row and in three of them failed to even find the net. The already relegated team can't even perform in a match such as this one against Parma, that much is clear.
There's a certain risk of a draw but for 2.15 we'll take it.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Parma 1-0 Pisa
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Parma to Win at 2.15 at Bet365
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
This one looks to be a good choice for a home win at a surprisingly good price as 14th placed Parma host Pisa who are rock bottom of Serie A.
Pisa's away record is 0-8-8, with four losses in a row on the road, 0-3, 0-5, 0-4 and 0-1, albeit against sides significantly stronger than Parma, but that run is as bad as it gets.
Parma for their part have a 3-6-7 home record, not great but they did win last time out with at 1-0 success at Udinese, and recent draws against Napoli and Lazio also show some decent progress.
My sheet suggests a 58% home win chance (based on actual results from 72 previous Serie A games rated similarly) and at odds of 2.10 to 2.15 that's clearly a +EV bet.
Take PARMA to win at 2.10 with Bet365 or +115 with Bookmaker.EU
Pisa's away record is 0-8-8, with four losses in a row on the road, 0-3, 0-5, 0-4 and 0-1, albeit against sides significantly stronger than Parma, but that run is as bad as it gets.
Parma for their part have a 3-6-7 home record, not great but they did win last time out with at 1-0 success at Udinese, and recent draws against Napoli and Lazio also show some decent progress.
My sheet suggests a 58% home win chance (based on actual results from 72 previous Serie A games rated similarly) and at odds of 2.10 to 2.15 that's clearly a +EV bet.
Take PARMA to win at 2.10 with Bet365 or +115 with Bookmaker.EU
