Italian Serie A
2026-05-03 - Bologna vs Cagliari
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 35
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Emilia-Romagna, Italy (36,000)
Sunday, 03 May 2026, 12:30 CET
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Bologna Team News
For a while now, Bologna has nothing to play for, and it shows. They got dominated by Aston Villa in the Europa League with an aggregate score of 1-7, and that's the one match they cared about.
They also failed to make their mark whenever they played any other strong opponent, and usually had to resort to beating relegation candidates to get points.
We'd have to go back to early November 2025 to find a game where Bologna won against a strong team in Serie A. It was Napoli.
Cagliari Team News
Cagliari did a lot of quality work during the season and now it's time to not squander it all in the last four rounds. The Sardinians are eight points above Cremonese that is the first team in the relegation zone, and would therefore mathematically secure their stay in Serie A for another season if they get at least a point here and Cremonese loses at home to Lazio.
After this, Cagliari will have two consecutive home matches, against Udinese and Torino, and will then travel to play AC Milan in the final round.
It's possible Cagliari won't even need another point to stay in Serie A but if they will require one more, they are surely eyeing the Udinese match more than any other.
Cagliari is the 12th-best host in the league and the third-worst visitor.
Probable Lineups
Bologna (4-2-3-1): Skorupski - Zortea, Casale, Heggem, Miranda - Freuler, Ferguson - Orsolini, Odgard, Jon Rowe - Santiago Castro. Coach Italiano.
Cagliari (4-3-2-1): Caprile - Ze Pedro, Mina, Dossena, Obert - Deiola, Gaetano, Adopo - Palestra, S.Esposito - Folorunsho. Coach Pisacane.
The Betting Market
Bologna is priced at 1.88 and this is a very good price, influnced by the perception of Bologna having nothing to play for and Cagliari needing the point(s) from this game.
Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.72 while the Over is priced at 2.10. We get 1.80 on Both Teams To Score: NO and 1.95 on Yes.
The Betting Verdict
Sure, Bologna looks like they don't even care when you look at their last three scoreless defeats. But these were to Aston Villa, Juventus and Roma -- much stronger sides.
Prior to this, Bologna won cleanly 2-0 at home against Lecce and we suspect they'll take another opportunity to get a relatively easy home win against a relegation candidate.
Bologna won the last five H2Hs also. We think they'll also get the sixth win in a row.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Bologna 1-0 Cagliari
