UEFA Nations
2026-11-14 - Norway vs Wales
A Sports Betting Pick by Auls
Football: UEFA Nations League Group Stage Match Day 5
Saturday 14th November 2026 - Kick Off 5pm
This game is live on TV
Norway
There is still an opportunity for Norway to make it through to the last eight of the Nations League by finishing behind Portugal in this Group, but fans and players will know things could have looked so much rosier if they had been able to hold onto leads in away games against Portugal and Wales. Motivation to try and finish in the top three in this section comes ahead of the Euro 2028 Qualifying draw and Norway will be keen to be one of the top Seeded teams.
With two games remaining, Norway are bottom of this Group due to a loss agaunst Wales, but they are only 3 points behind Denmark with the two Scandinavian nations facing off next week. A win on Saturday could go a long way to Norway securing second place behind Portugal, but anything less would leave the World Cup Quarter Finalists in real danger of finishing bottom.
Norway only lost 1 of the 6 World Cup Finals matches in normal time, while they won 4 of those, and they opened this Nations League Group with a 3-2 win over Denmark. However, they have since lost all 3 games, including consecutive away defeats at Portugal and Wales where Norway had scored the first goal. Norway had won 8 home competitive games in succession before the 1-2 defeat to the Portuguese on Match Day 2 of the 2026/27 Nations League.
Torbjorn Heggem returns having served a suspension.
Wales
Another win over Norway may not be enough for Wales to finish in the top three of this Nations League Group, but the squad have taken a lot of confidence from beating a nation that reached the last eight at the last World Cup Finals. Like so many others in League A, there is plenty of motivation for Wales to finish in the top three of this section as that would mean a top Seed ahead of the Euro 2028 Qualifying draw, a tournament that will have games played in Cardiff.
Craig Bellamy remains in charge of the national team having been linked with moves into club management and he has helped Wales pick up 3 points in this Group, despite having a host of injuries to deal with in the last international break. They were beaten 0-1 at home by Denmark on Match Day 4 of the Group Stage, while Wales have suffered away defeats in Portugal and Denmark already.
Wales have won 1 of the last 8 games, which is a run that began with the Penalty Shoot Out loss to Bosnia-Herzegovina in the World Cup Play Off. They did only lose 1 of 4 away World Cup Qualifiers, but Wales have lost all 5 Nations League away games played when competing in League A of the competition.
Harry Wilson is back in the squad having missed the last set of international matches with an injury. Joe Rodon has also been called up, although Leeds United will be hoping the national team takes care of a player who has missed several games with a hamstring issue. Ben Cabango is going to be serving a suspension.
Head to Head
Wales came from behind to beat Norway 2-1 at home last month.
That result means Norway have won 1 of the last 6 when playing Wales and have lost 3 in a row.
The last meeting in Oslo ended goalless in May 2004.
Prediction
The Nations League may not be a competition that has earned the level of respect and attention of the major summer international tournaments, but it is one that has sparked successes for the likes of Portugal and Spain.
For Norway and Wales, there is an interest to get into the Quarter Finals of the competition, but the added motivation is trying to at least finish third in the Group and earning a top Seed for the Euro 2028 Qualifying draw taking place next month.
Wales have the head to head edge having beaten Norway in Cardiff, but this is a game played in Oslo where the Norwegians have been really strong.
Even the 1-2 defeat to Portugal on Match Day 2 of the Nations League Group Stage will not have dented Norway's confidence- they were the superior team on the day and created more than enough opportunities to win, never mind avoiding defeat.
Anything similar will give Norway the edge, even against a stronger looking Welsh squad travelling.
They might be stronger, but Wales have struggled away from home in League A of the Nations League and that may be the case again on Saturday afternoon.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Norway 3-1 Wales
