Tennis
2025-08-26 - Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexandre Muller
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis: US Open First Round
Tuesday 26th August 2025 - Scheduled 4pm
9pm (British Time)
Preview
Changes have been made on and off the court as Stefanos Tsitsipas looks to reverse a slide that has him trending to drop out of the top 32 in the World Rankings. That will also mean being Unseeded at Grand Slam events and could soon see Stefanos Tsitsipas struggle to recover to the kind of level that he expects from himself.
In all honesty, it has been a difficult twelve months for the 27 year old and Stefanos Tsitsipas has struggled for any kind of consistency on any surface.
The service numbers have been pretty steady on the hard courts, but there is always pressure on Stefanos Tsitsipas due to a limited return game. In previous years that has perhaps not been developed as it should have been with Tsitsipas perhaps coasting on successes that he has had, but it is coming back to haunt him now and makes it feel that every win has to be something of a grind.
His return numbers on the hard courts have dipped slightly in 2025 compared with 2024 and that has meant putting together a 12-9 record. Early losses in Toronto, Cincinnati and Winston Salem has just added to the frustration and Stefanos Tsitsipas is not expected to be a player that is going to have a huge impact at this Grand Slam.
However, it would be a significant upset if Alexandre Muller is able to get the better of Stefanos Tsitsipas in the First Round.
Alexandre Muller is playing at a peak World Ranking, but he is just 3-4 on the hard courts in the build up to the tournament and he has a serve that can be vulnerable. The World Number 38 is not exactly the strongest of return players himself and so this is a match up that should be pretty comfortable for Stefanos Tsitsipas, even if the latter is not playing near to the level he has reached previously.
These two players have met twice over the last ten months and both have been won by Stefanos Tsitsipas without dropping a set.
In those two matches, Tsitsipas has held 90% of his service games compared with a 67% mark for Alexandre Muller and you have to believe the Greek star can do enough to work his way past this opponent. Recent results are incredibly disappointing, which tempers some of the enthusiasm around the selection, but Stefanos Tsitsipas was competitive enough in a couple of his defeats to believe he can find a way to get through this match in three or four sets.
Prediction
Look for the former top ten player to win this one without needing a fifth set, even on poor current form.
The Pick :
Stefanos Tsitsipas 3-1 Alexandre Muller
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
I'll back Stefanos Tsitsipas - 1.5 Sets at 2.00 with BetFred
