Tennis
2025-08-31 - Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis: US Open Fourth Round
Sunday 31st August 2025 - Scheduled 7pm
12am (British Time)
Preview
Two veterans of the Tour meet for a place in the US Open Quarter Final, but the Jan-Lennard Struff run to the Fourth Round really has come out of left field.
He is the younger player in this match and the German will take confidence out of the fact he was Qualifying matches before upsetting two Seeded players. That includes Jan-Lennard Struff beating Frances Tiafoe, a home player who has had considerable success at the US Open in recent years, and so there will be nothing wrong with the belief in the 35 year old's camp.
There has been little sign of the run after early losses in Cincinnati and Cancun so all credit has to be given to Jan-Lennard Struff.
His World Ranking will be back inside the top 100 at the end of the tournament, which is very important and Struff will feel there is nothing to lose for him in this Fourth Round match.
Another Seed stands in his way and Novak Djokovic looks to be doing just enough to progress through the Rounds.
There have been some concerns around Novak Djokovic who has looked a little vulnerable physically, but the overall match up in this Fourth Round clash should not be too concerning. The rallies are not expected to be extended and that should help Novak Djokovic, as will the familiarity with the opponent he is facing.
He has won all seven previous Tour meetings between the players and six of those have been on the hard courts.
The numbers have been heavily skewed in favour of Novak Djokovic with 87% of service games ending in holds, while also breaking in 42% of return games.
The former World Number 1 swept Jan-Lennard Struff aside at the US Open in 2020, although Novak Djokovic has not faced this opponent for a number of years.
It may mean needing a bit of time to just get a reading of the Struff serve, but you have to believe that Novak Djokovic will eventually begin to wear down this opponent and move into a position to cover a line that is in an awkward position.
Prediction
It has been far from smooth sailing for Novak Djokovic at the 2025 US Open, but he has found a way to move through the gears within matches to pull away from opponents and that could be the case again in this Fourth Round match.
The Pick :
Novak Djokovic 3-0 Jan-Lennard Struff
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
I'll back Novak Djokovic - 6.5 Games at 2.03 with SportBet.One
