Tennis
2025-09-01 - Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis: US Open Fourth Round
Monday 1st September 2025 - Scheduled 7pm
12am (British Time)
Preview
There are not many players that can say they have given Jannik Sinner much to think about on a hard court, but Denis Shapovalov may have woken up with some regret having been moving into a position to secure an upset.
At 1-1 in sets, the Canadian moved into a 3-0 lead in the third set, but sparked Jannik Sinner into life and the World Number 1 won six straight games and continued the momentum into the fourth set.
In any Grand Slam run, even the very best players will have those matches that could easily derail them, but it is rare for those to have multiple lacklustre performances and expect to win a tournament.
With that in mind, Jannik Sinner should be a lot better in this Fourth Round match.
He will also be a little more focused knowing how awkward Alexander Bublik can be, especially as Jannik Sinner was beaten by the World Number 24 on the grass courts of Halle before the Italian won the Wimbledon title.
Alexander Bublik had an unexpected run at the French Open when reaching the Quarter Final and he will remember that it was Jannik Sinner who got the better of him on that day.
However, it should be noted that Alexander Bublik has used that run as motivation for plenty of successes in the last couple of months. Titles won on the clay courts over the last several weeks will have given him further confidence in the performances he is producing, and to the extent that Bublik has reached the Fourth Round at the US Open.
He has previously made it pretty clear that he does not enjoy the North American hard courts and Bublik skipped both Masters events in the build up to the US Open, but that has not slowed the momentum.
All five sets were needed for Alexander Bublik to finally get the better of Tommy Paul in the Third Round and that could be a potential problem. It wasn't a particularly long match, but it is the emotional back and forth that those five setters represent and the accumulation of fatigue that can see players struggle.
Prior to the US Open beginning, Alexander Bublik had a 7-10 record on the hard courts and his numbers will have to be far better than his usual level if he is going to push the top Seed and defending Champion.
The two wins that Alexander Bublik has over Jannik Sinner will give him some belief, but both were on grass courts that Sinner had not always been at his best before his own success at Wimbledon.
On this surface, Jannik Sinner should have too much for Alexander Bublik and he can cover what is a potentially awkward line.
Prediction
Lay the games with the World Number 1, even against an opponent playing with the confidence of Alexander Bublik.
The Pick :
Jannik Sinner 3-0 Alexander Bublik
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
I'll back Jannik Sinner - 6.5 Games at 1.79 with SportBet.One
