Tennis
2025-09-02 - Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis: US Open Quarter Final
Tuesday 2nd September 2025 - Scheduled 7pm
12am (British Time)
Preview
The upset over Elena Rybakina will have given Marketa Vondrousova the blueprint to what she has to do in order to reach the US Open Semi Final.
A similar performance is going to be needed in what is going to feel like a similar match up against Aryna Sabalenka, although the Czech player has lost her last four hard court matches against the World Number 1.
She was beaten in Cincinnati, but Marketa Vondrousova will take some confidence out of a match in which she created 12 Break Points against the Aryna Sabalenka serve. That is four times as many as she allowed and Vondrousova has played well in her matches at the US Open to believe that she will be able to convert more opportunities after failing to produce a single break of serve against Sabalenka in Cincinnati, despite the chances created.
Of course there will be some mental obstacles to overcome with this losing streak on the hard courts against Aryna Sabalenka to deal with.
However, Marketa Vondrousova has wins over Aryna Sabalenka on the clay courts and grass courts over the last eighteen months and the former Wimbledon Champion has Major success to give her confidence.
Aryna Sabalenka has not looked her dominant best since a disappointing Wimbledon- most players would think a Semi Final run is something to celebrate, but the World Number 1 will have greater expectations on herself.
Losses in the Australian Open and French Open Finals really have hurt too, but Aryna Sabalenka is the defending Champion in New York City and she has had a solid level in her run through to another Quarter Final.
There is no doubt that Aryna Sabalenka has to find another level if she is going to end 2025 with another Grand Slam title in the trophy cabinet, but there should be room for her to do that. Serving well is going to be key against an opponent who will be happy to slice and dice her way into those return games, but Aryna Sabalenka is familiar with Vondrousova's game and that should benefit her in this good looking Quarter Final.
Prediction
Lay the games with the Number 1 Seed and defending Champion in what is going to be a fun Quarter Final.