Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime tennis Betting Pick

Gambling advice by FirstDown covering the Tennis match Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Sections on this page :

▼ Betting Pick ▼ Match Analysis ▼ Forecast Score ▼ Match Report ▼ Support Our Site

FirstDown's Recommended Bet :

I'll back Jannik Sinner - 7.5 Games at 1.80 with Bet365


Place the bet at Bet365 Now!

Tennis

2025-09-05 - Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown

Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Tennis: US Open Semi Final
Friday 5th September 2025 - Scheduled 7pm
12am (British Time)


Preview


Barring a set and a half against Denis Shapovalov, Jannik Sinner has looked very comfortable at the US Open as he looks to defend the title won last year in New York City.

A crushing win over compatriot Lorenzo Musetti has kept the World Number 1 on track and he is expected to have too much for Felix Auger-Aliassime.

The latter can take inspiration from compatriot Denis Shapovalov, who had Jannik Sinner in a spot of bother earlier in the tournament, while Felix Auger-Aliassime has racked up the upsets to earn a spot in the Semi Final. Wins over Alexander Zverev, Andrey Rublev and Alex De Minaur have all been in a spot of being an underdog and Felix Auger-Aliassime has won two of those matches after dropping the first set.

It does mean having to spend more time on court than is perhaps ideal ahead of a match up against the World Number 1, but Auger-Aliassime has to be pretty confident in his tennis.

Of course, the Canadian is going to have to forget what happened the last time he faced Jannik Sinner.

In Cincinnati, Felix Auger-Aliassime was only able to win two games against the top Seed at the US Open and his serve was simply not working to a level that is needed.

Falling short of the standards that need to be set will put Felix Auger-Aliassime under a huge amount of pressure and it is very difficult to look past Jannik Sinner.

His hard court numbers have been ridiculous in 2025, and Sinner has cruised through the last couple of Rounds.

The returning part of his game is very dangerous and Jannik Sinner is capable of building up scoreboard pressure and breaking down his opponent.

Felix Auger-Aliassime is going to have to change that narrative to make this a competitive Semi Final, but that may be asking too much from him. He has had a really good tournament and the World Ranking is going to take a significant jump upwards when the new Rankings are released on Monday, but it looks like Felix Auger-Aliassime's time in New York City is set to come to a conclusion and in what may end up being another routine defeat to the World Number 1.

Prediction


Lay the games with the World Number 1 in this Semi Final.

The Pick :

Jannik Sinner 3-0 Felix Auger-Aliassime

FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :

I'll back Jannik Sinner - 7.5 Games at 1.80 with Bet365

Place the bet at Bet365 Now!



ONLINE BETTING SITES FOR YOU

US SPORTS


BetOnline Sportsbook
BETONLINE

US CASINO


Bovada Casino
BOVADA CASINO


 

beer-ware rewards writers with a beer SUPPORT US WITH A BEER — #BEERWARE STYLE
Everything on GoonersGuide is 100% FREE — no paywalls, no fees.

But if you enjoy the tips and want to say thanks, you can “buy us a beer” just by signing up with one of our sponsor bookies.

Here’s how it works:
✅ Pick a sponsor below
✅ Click the link, sign up, deposit a tenner (or more)
✅ Place a bet (hopefully a winning one!)

Each new signup helps us fund another round for our writers — who are massive fans like you and run on passion (and the occasional pint).

No pressure. No hard sell. Just #BEERWARE.
A little support for us, a little good karma for you

RECOMMENDED BOOKMAKER SITES :

UK : Bet365 | BetFred

USA : Bovada Sportsbook | Bookmaker EU

Canada : Bet365 | Bodog Sports |

Europe : Bet365 | CloudBet

Australia : Bet365.COM.AU

Asia : 12PLAY

Crypto-Friendly : Cloudbet | Bovada | Bodog | SportBet

Cheers !!