Villarreal CF v Xerez
Football : Spain, Primera Division 2009/2010
Sunday 14th March 2010 - Kickoff 16:00

---

Match Analysis :

The Yellow Submarine are firm favourites to pick up three points here as their quest continues to push for a European spot next season. Villarreal are in good form at home at the moment as the Yellow Submarines managed to win four games in their previous six games at the El Madrigal, drawing one and losing the other.

Juan Carlos Garrido does not want lightning to strike twice on the home side as Villarreal was the first side Xerez came from a goal down to defeat them earlier this season.

With Villarreal lying seven points behind their closest rivals, Bilbao, Garrido knows that his side will have to take as many points as they could against weaker opposition and home for Bilbao to slip if they wish to qualify for Europe next season.

Many are worried that Xerez recent improvement would mean that Villarreal would find it difficult to take all three points this weekend. However, Xerez is still lacking quality in every department of the pitch.

Nestor Gorosito will hope for Mario Bermejo, their leading goal scorer with 6 goals to deliver him the goals and get something out of this game to scratch their unbeaten run to three games. On the other hand.

Asian Handicap Analysis :

Under the asian handicap line this season, Villarreal recorded 8 payouts and 5 defeats at home this season. The failures came against Mallorca, Real Madrid, Espanyol, Almeria and Osasuna.

In fact, three of the failures came at the start of the season. Since early October, Villarreal have only failed to payout 2 games at home under the asian handicap line.

On the other hand, Xerez have lost 7 out of their 12 away games this season, drawing one and paying the remaining four. The four bettor payouts came against Espanyol, Valladolid, Zaragoza and Malaga.

The Betting Verdict :

In the past 6 months, only Osasuna and Almeria were fortunate enough to take points away from Villarreal. However Xerez have only managed to secure 6 points from a possible 36 points on the road this season.

With Villarreal so strong at home this season, i find it hard to back my money on the away side who has such poor records on the road. 6 points from a possible 36 means that Xerez have only managed a draw, once in every six games on average.

The Statistics :

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Take Villarreal to win the game at a price of approx. 1.40

HANDICAP BETTING :

Take Villarreal to cover the -1.25 head start.