Romanian League
2011-04-06 - Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Brasov
A Sports Betting Pick by ROzsolt
Football: Romania: Liga 1
Venue: Stadion Stefan cel Mare, Bucuresti, Romania
Wednesday 6th April – Kickoff time: 20:00 GMT+2
Dinamo Bucuresti (6th W-10 D-7 L-6)
Dinamo were looking like they are back on track after a solid performance on their previous home game against FCM Targu-Mures, a match that Dinamo won scoring 4 goals.
Dinamo then travelled to Medias in the weekend to face Universitatea Cluj and they could not manage to keep their unbeaten run from 2011. In these conditions, coach Ioan Andone could be replaced in the upcoming weeks, as Dinamo's objective in this season was a Champions League spot which looks unachievable at the moment.
Dinamo still has a chance to win a trophy this season, as they are qualified in the semi-finals of the Romanian Cup where they will face Gloria Bistria and could play the final against rivals, Steaua Bucuresti.
Right winger Gabriel Torje will be back after a miss caused by a suspension, while left back Valeriu Bordeanu will replace Zie Diabate, who made a decisive mistake in the previous game.
Dinamo's home form:
20.03.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 22 Dinamo 4 - 1 FCM Targu-Mureş
04.03.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 20 Dinamo 2 - 2 Pandurii Tg. Jiu
04.12.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 18 Dinamo 2 - 2 Astra Ploiesti
27.11.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 17 Dinamo 0 - 0 Poli Stiinta Timisoara
14.11.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 15 Dinamo 2 - 2 U Craiova
FC Brasov (11th W-6 D-11 L-6)
Brasov could be considered the pleasant surprise of the second part of the championship, not losing any game so far. They have actually caused some shocks, humiliating Steaua in Bucharest (3-0) and defeating leader Otelul Galati in the previous weekend (1-0).
The first part of their season was rather poor, but the management brought a new coach that seems to be perfectly compatible with the players and the style of FC Brasov. Antonio Conceicao (ex-CFR Cluj) created a team that can win on any ground in Liga 1.
Brasov only won two games on the road this season, but that's not quite relevant because there is a new coach and also new players that joined the team in the winter break, so the squad is different in many ways.
Conceicao won't be able to use defender Adrian Rusu, who will be suspended for this match.
Brasov's away form :
21.03.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 22 Unirea Urziceni 1 - 1 FC Brasov
06.03.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 20 Steaua 0 - 3 FC Brasov
27.02.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 19 U Cluj 1 - 1 FC Brasov
19.11.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 16 Pandurii Tg. Jiu 2 - 1 FC Brasov
06.11.2010 Liga 1 Etapa 14 Astra Ploiesti 3 - 0 FC Brasov
The betting verdict
Brasov showed some great potential in the previous games and I won't be putting money on Dinamo at 1.6 for a home win. I think Brasov could pull off a positive result if they have half the inspiration they had in the Steaua game. Dinamo is vulnerable in many areas.
Dinamo Bucuresti have been involved in games that produced a large number of goals, especially at home, where they have scored 28 goals and conceded 23.
In fact, there was only one game that ended with less that 3 goals scored, that means about 8%.
Still, the odds for more than 2 goals in this game can be found at around evens, which is great value in my opinion.
The Pick :
Dinamo Bucuresti 1-2 FC Brasov
BEST BETTING TIP :
Main bet: Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 Bet365Confidence: 7/10
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Side bet: Brasov +0.5 AH at 2.20 Bet365
Confidence: 5/10
Confidence: 5/10
