Italian Serie A
2024-10-30 - Empoli vs Inter Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 10
Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli, Tuscany, Italy (16,167)
Wednesday, 30 October, 18:30 CET
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Empoli Team News
Empoli almost had their way in Parma. They were the better team, they had a 0-1 lead, but couldn't hold on and eventually conceded an equalizer. This was something similar to their outing in Rome against Lazio two rounds before, but Lazio found enough firepower to win the game 2-1.
Empoli will, without a doubt, be a tough nut to crack for any team in this league. The variance in their results can not be made sense of, it's just that sometimes their game plan works, and sometimes it does not.
Inter Team News
It was somewhat embarassing to see the 0-0 correct score prediction end up as a 4-4 game, but here we are. That's exactly what happened in the Inter v Juventus derby only three days ago in Milan, and the team that benefits the most is Napoli. It was just a strange game in which every long shot went straight to the small undefended part of the net. You'd think it's easy.
Now Inter has to keep winning and hope Napoli spills points against Milan the day before. Despite wasting a 4-2 lead against Juventus, Inter is still not in such a bad situation, they know they can enter a series of wins and that the opponents will find it difficult to keep up.
Probable Lineups
Empoli (3-4-2-1): Vasquez - Goglichidze, Ismajli, Viti - Gyasi, Grassi, Anjorin, Pezzella - Fazzini, Solbakken - Colombo. Coach D'Aversa.
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Bisseck, De Vrij, Bastoni - Darmian, Zielinski, Barella, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco - Thuram, Lautaro. Coach S.Inzaghi.
The Betting Market
Inter is, of course, the favourite, and the price of 1.46 is there for the taking for everyone who likes to take such short prices on favourites in Serie A. It's not very profitable to do so in general, even if Inter has been an exception to this rule last season. If you bet on Inter all the time, you'll have a positive ROI.
Not this season though. Inter has 5 wins in 9, which isn't enough to justify the small prices in situations such as this one.
The Betting Verdict
By now, it seems that teams have settled on a tried and tested recipe for beating Empoli. At least that's what the results suggest. Simply prevent Empoli from scoring from a counter attack - be careful in transition - and patiently wait for the goal that will surely come.
We see this as a 0-1 kind of game, but let's leave the Under 2.5 Goals alone as Inter might win it 0-3 easily. Let's say that at least one of the teams won't find the net. In a game that you feel will be low-scoring, there's always good value in BTTS-NO.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Both Teams To Score: NO at 1.80 at Bet365