This weekends best dutch bet goes saturday night as FC Twente host struggling Willem II.


FC Twente (14th place, 3-2-5, GD 11-10)

Alright, let's check the negatives first, Twente are only in 14th place, only managed 2 wins so far while they suffered 5 defeats, furthermore only 11 goals from 10 games tell us they are no goal scoring machine.

So, why on earth pick Twente here, have i gone nuts?

Well, maybe, but probably not;-) If we take a closer look than we see that Twente had a terrible start into the season with 2 draws and 4 defeats from their first 6 games.

However if we start counting from early Oktober and look at their recent form than Twente have picked up strongly with a 4-0 away win to Heracles, a solid 2-0 home win over RKC and a good 1-1 draw away to NAC, while last week Twente suffered a very unlucky 0-1 home defeat at the hands of PSV as they were more than equal to the eindhoven side and simply were very unlucky to lose out missing lot's of chances.

So, while the result was dissapointing against PSV, Twente will have taken confidence from their performance on that night and will be very eager to put the record straight here and continue their uptrend form. In this light they really couldn't have wished for a better opponent than out-of-form Willem II at the moment.

Teamnews is that we can expect more or less the same line-up that had PSV on the verge of defeat here last week and the team will be hungry for getting their deserved reward this time.


Willem II ( 17th place, 2-2-6 GD 7-16)

I watched Willem II against Feyenoord last week and while Feyenoord were far from convincing in that game they probably haven't had an easier win ever as Willem II were simply horrible lacking everyting that normally makes a team. On a good day Feyenoord could have easily recorded a double digit result as they waisted countless chances upfront being given permanent free passage by the non-existent Willem II defense.

If we look at Willem II's season so far, it's fairly dissapointing and their always clever coach and Mourinho look-a-like Maaskant is under severe pressure from their own support.

While last season Willem II's downtrend was camouflaged by reaching the Cup final and Uefa Cup football, this time there is no escaping the facts that Willem II are really a poor team as they are in a fierce battle with bottom side RBC for the worst team award so far.

For this game Willem II face more trouble as their regular goalkeeper and best player so far this season Moens is out suspended, same goes for important regular Feher.


History Angle

History points clearly towards the hosts here who managed 7 wins from their last 10 games here against Willem II and recent form of both teams doesn't suggests a change of the trend here.

Probable Line ups

There are no line ups available yet, but we can expect Twente in more or less the same line up as against PSV while Willem II will be without Moens and Feher for sure.


The verdict

For this game we have to overlook the actual low 14th place ranking for hosts FC Twente, infact it only gives us a better price here. Twente are clearly catching on good form and i really expect them to beat this out-of-form Willem II side here.

The Pick :

FC Twente

PERCENTAGE ESTIMATE :

Home: 65% Draw: 20% Away: 15%

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

I have Twente marked down as my best dutch bet for the weekend and got them early at $1.90, i advice you to secure yourself a slice of the action here at value prices around $1.80 which are bound to drop down fast towards the weekend.

HANDICAP BETTING :

The handicap play is virtually the same as the fixed odds, just check which price is higher this time.