English Premier
2024-05-04 - Burnley vs Newcastle United
A Sports Betting Pick by Auls
Football: English Premier League
Saturday 4th May 2024 - Kick Off 3pm
Burnley
The late point gained at Old Trafford has edged Burnley a little closer to the safety line in the Premier League standings, but Vincent Kompany will privately be wondering if his team actually dropped two points on the day. After getting in some very promising positions, poor decisions were made by the Burnley attackers and they were perhaps a little fortunate to even earn a draw against Manchester United.
It is a point that means Burnley are still 19th in the Premier League table, but they are one win from moving out of the bottom three. There will be a keen eye looking out for the final decision of the appeal hearing that Nottingham Forest put in after receiving a Four Point Deduction and that may still have a big impact on Burnley who have perhaps left their survival bid a little too late. The side have a 2-4-11 record at Turf Moor in the top flight.
Burnley have now lost 1 of their last 8 Premier League games, but they have won just twice in that time which has meant a slow climb towards safety. Games are running down as we move into May, but Burnley are unbeaten in 3 at Turf Moor and began that run with a win over Brentford before drawing fixtures against Brighton and Wolves.
Luca Koleosho is hoping to return to the squad on Saturday.
Newcastle United
A wide open game suited Newcastle United more than Sheffield United last week and the extra quality of Eddie Howe's team showed up on the day as they continue pushing for a top six finish. It was another game at St James' Park where Newcastle United's firepower came through, but in general it has been a much tougher task for the side when playing away from home.
They are 7th in the Premier League table after results last weekend and Newcastle United have moved to just a single point behind Manchester United, who will not play until Monday evening. The Magpies have a 4-2-10 record away from home where they have scored 26 goals and conceded 34.
Newcastle United have lost 1 of their 6 Premier League games played since returning from the March international break and they have won 4 of those matches. Those victories have mainly been produced in front of The Toon Army in the North East and Newcastle United have lost 3 of their last 4 away games in all competitions. However, Eddie Howe will point out his team have won half of their last 6 away Premier League fixtures, despite the 2-0 loss at Crystal Palace last time out.
Fabian Schar has to be considered a doubt having picked up a hamstring strain last weekend and having to be substituted at half time. Miguel Almiron is a doubt, while both Nick Pope and Kieran Trippier may still be a week away from any potential return.
Head to Head
Newcastle United beat Burnley 2-0 at home at the end of September.
They have enjoyed recent visits to Turf Moor and Newcastle United have won 3 of their last 4 games played here, all by the same 1-2 scoreline.
Prediction
Losing another defender to an injury just about sums up how this season has gone for Newcastle United, but they are still in a position to finish in the top six and guarantee bringing European Football back to St James' Park next season.
The thumping win over Sheffield United keeps Newcastle United hot on the heels of Manchester United, who dropped two points in a 1-1 draw with Burnley last weekend.
It is a point that has pushed Burnley a little closer to 17th placed Nottingham Forest, but with three games left, Vincent Kompany knows his team need to start winning games. They do still have to host Nottingham Forest on the final day of the season, but Burnley might need to pick up at least four points over the next couple of weeks to still have a chance of surviving on the final day.
A win for Luton Town on Friday night would really ramp up the pressure, especially as Nottingham Forest are playing at Bramall Lane at the same time as this fixture is being played.
Burnley have lost 1 of their last 7 games, but they have won just twice in that run and that has meant a slower climb towards safety than the manager may have hoped.
3 unbeaten at Turf Moor will give Burnley confidence, but this is the toughest visitor to the ground since losing to Bournemouth, even if Newcastle United have been inconsistent away from home all season.
In saying that, The Magpies have won 3 of their last 6 Premier League games on their travels, while they have won 3 of their last 4 at Turf Moor. For all the injuries in defensive areas, Newcastle United have some high quality attacking options available to Eddie Howe and those players can come through and make the difference for them here.
They are a little short when you think of Newcastle United's overall away record, but the recent successes should give them the confidence to earn a vital three points and push Burnley a little closer to the Championship.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Burnley 1-2 Newcastle United
BEST BETTING TIP :
I'll back Newcastle United to Win at 1.96 with SportBet.One
