Italian Serie A
2024-09-28 - Genoa vs Juventus
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 6
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Liguria, Italy (33,205)
Saturday, 28th September 2024, 18:00 CET
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Genoa Team News
We believed Genoa will be the same team as last season despite the departures of Retegui and Gudmundsson, but their replacements Vitinha and Pinamonti are just average players. Vitinha never scored in bunches, Pinamonti isn't a classy forward either, so Genoa lost its edge.
They started off with a 2-2 against Inter, but that was a fluke. In the other four Serie A matches, Genoa scored exactly once, in a 1-1 against Roma.
Without the two world class forwards to bring them goals, Genoa might slip into mediocrity.
Juventus Team News
By now it's obvious that Juventus won't instantly become a juggernaut that wins every game just because Motta took over. If anything, the team looks even more confused, especially with newcomers Koopmeiners and Gonzalez still trying to settle in as Motta's demands are unique.
But whatever happens, one thing is for sure. This team is holding the ball a lot yet can't score, and on the other hand the opponent can't score either because they don't have the ball. The perfect Under 2.5 Goals team, perhaps even more so than the classic Juventus that aims for a 1-0 win. This is the same, except the team gets there in a different way than before.
Probable Lineups
Genoa (3-5-2): Gollini - Vogliacco, Bani, Vazquez - Sabelli, Frendrup, Badelj, Thorsby, Martin - Vitinha, Pinamonti. Coach Gillardino.
Juventus (4-1-4-1): Perin - Danilo, Kalulu, Bremer, Rouhi - Fagioli - Nico Gonzalez, McKennie, Koopmeiners, Yildiz - Vlahovic. Coach Motta.
Malinovskyi is out and he'll be replaced by Thorsby in the starting lineup. That's a really important player for Genoa. Motta will once again shuffle the formation and the lineup in search of a winning recipe.
The Betting Market
Juventus is a cautious 1.71 favourite, which is pretty much in line with what we've been getting on them as road favourites for a long time now in situations similar to this one.
Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.61, and Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at 2.20, so there's something for you value punters out there. We all know Juventus is prone to conceding when visiting.
The Betting Verdict
With Genoa's offensive conversion issues and with Juventus being the epitome of an underish team, Under 2.5 Goals is the only bet that makes sense. Even though this match might as well evolve into a 1-2 if Genoa scores, we'll take the risk.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Genoa 0-1 Juventus
