Italian Serie A
2024-11-02 - Udinese vs Juventus
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 11
Stadio Friuli, Udine, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Italy (25,144)
Saturday, 2 November 2024, 18:00 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Udinese Team News
Udinese lost 3-2 at Venezia and we did not see that coming. This was one of the rare cases where Udinese's newly found offensive approach backfired, as they usually lose to big teams only and they beat the relegation candidates. Truth be told, Udinese got a red card at 1-2 so Venezia scored twice against ten men, but still, a bad result.
Incidentally, Udinese is just behind Juventus at #7 so they could overtake their visitors with a win here. Surely, they will try.
Juventus Team News
Juventus just played 2-2 at home against Parma, which was an absolutely awful result for this side following a 4-4 draw against Inter. The reason why it's awful is that everyone else won - Napoli, Inter, Atalanta, Fiorentina and Lazio - and all are ahead of 6th-placed Juventus right now. And they'd be at #3 with a point behind Inter if they had beaten the lowly Parma. What a debacle at Delle Alpi.
This was the sixth draw in ten games for Juventus, with only four wins, so while Juventus is still undefeated they're not doing very well on the table. This must be shattering for the confidence of Motta and the entire team.
Probable Lineups
Udinese (3-5-2): Okoye - Kabasele, Bijol, Giannetti - Ehizibue, Karlstrom, Lovric, Payero, Zemura - Lucca, Davis. Coach Runjaic.
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio - Savona, Gatti, Kalulu, Cambiaso - Locatelli, Thuram - Weah, Koopmeiners, Yildiz - Vlahovic. Coach Motta.
Juventus will restore Weah and Koopmeiners to the starting lineup. Yildiz seems to be nailed on, and he should be, after those two goals against Inter.
The Betting Market
Juventus is a 1.95 favourite and that sounds about reasonable. You know Juventus is a better side and you can't really put 2.00 or above on them here, otherwise everyone would jump on that bandwagon. Though you get 2.03 with Bet365 Enhanced Prices.
Both Teams To Score is priced at 2.00 and Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 2.30. The latter is particularly good value.
The Betting Verdict
While it will definitely be more difficult for Udinese to play offensively against the endless-passing Juventus, we still think the hosts will find the net at least once. Juventus' defence has been unreliable on travels for a long time, and this didn't change much under Motta, even if this is just a short bus trip. This game could also go Over 2.5 Goals.
Udinese won 2-1 against Lazio early in the season, and lost 2-3 to Inter. Chances are, the hosts will entertain the home audience once again. Or the game will go 0-0, but if it will be an entertaining one we get a price of 2.75 on that.
The Pick :
Udinese 1-2 Juventus
