Italian Serie A
2024-12-01 - Lecce vs Juventus
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 14
Stadio Via del mare, Lecce, Apulia, Italy (40,670)
Sunday, 1 December 2024, 20:45 CET
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Lecce Team News
Lecce is a lose-to-nil side. They can't score for a while now and then it got worse, they don't even change the formation or try to mix it up when it comes to players they field. Same old same old, it didn't work last season and it still doesn't work now.
All Lecce can hope for is to keep the game low-scoring, to score once because on special occasions they do, and then they hope that that single goal will be enough for a 1-0 win or at least for a 1-1 draw. Simple math.
Last week, it worked, as Lecce got a 0-1 visiting win at Venezia.
Juventus Team News
Juventus is on a two-game streak of 0-0 results. First came the 0-0 against Milan and then another one was added in the Champions League against Aston Villa. In last six matches in all competitions, there were a total of six goals scored for an average of 1.0 per game. Five goals were scored by Juventus and one by Lille. What a joy Motta's Juventus is to watch. When a goal is scored, celebrate like it's the only one that will be scored on the evening. Because it probably will be.
Probable Lineups
Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone - Guilbert, Gaspar, Baschirotto, Gallo - Coulibaly, Ramadani, Rafia - Dorgu, Krstovic, Sansone. Coach Gotti.
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Perin - Danilo, Gatti, Kalulu, Cambiaso - Locatelli, Thuram - Conceicao, Koopmeiners, Yildiz - Weah. Coach Motta.
Vlahovic is out for Juventus.
The Betting Market
You can get 1.73 on Juventus, which is actually quite a good price if you know that Lecce is one of the sides with the least variance in results. In other words, the side that's least likely to cause an upset.
Under 2.5 Goals is expectedly priced low - very low - at 1.50. Both Teams To Score: NO is priced at 1.53. It's clear what all this implies, a Juventus win to nil.
If you bet on that specifically, the price would be 2.37.
The Betting Verdict
We'll take the Win To Nil and then use the Bet365 Bet Builder to combine it with an Under 3.5 Goals bet to get a price of 2.50. You can get 3.10 if you combine it with an Under 2.5 Goals bet instead. But we've seen Juventus win 3-0 in this same situation so we wouldn't want to lose the bet because of it.
We feel that if Juventus wins here, it will almost certainly be to nil. Motta will look to make it so, that's for sure.
The Pick :
Lecce 0-1 Juventus
