Italian Serie A
2025-01-05 - AS Roma vs Lazio
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 19
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Lazio, Italy (70,634)
Sunday, 5 January 2025, 20:45 CET
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Roma Team News
Getting a point on the road against Milan can definitely be seen as a positive for Roma, a side that can't perform when in role of a visitor and a side that can't perform against the top sides.
It's certainly a better performance than their visit to Como that ended 2-0 a few weeks ago. It seems Claudio Ranieri is managing to steer this ship right.
Lazio Team News
Lazio seemingly slowed down a bit, because the schedule toughened up. Lazio still can't perform against the top sides - unless we're talking Napoli - and the best thing they can hope for is exactly what they got in the previous round, a point against Atalanta. The match was played in Rome and it ended 1-1.
Lazio also managed to get a point with 2-2 against Milan earlier in the season, and got that win against Napoli in the league and in the cup, but other than that, they just keep losing derbies.
Probable Lineups
Roma (3-4-2-1): Svilar - Mancini, Hermoso, Ndicka - Saelemaekers, Kone, Paredes, Angelino - Pellegrini, Dybala - Dovbyk. Coach Ranieri.
Lazio (4-3-3): Provedel - Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Tavares - Guendouzi, Rovella, Dele-Bashiru - Tchaouna, Castellanos, Zaccagni. Coach Baroni.
The Betting Market
With a shared stadium there's no home field advantage here in this derby yet Roma is seen as the better side, as the price is 2.55 compared to 2.90 on Lazio.
The bookmakers are expecting both sides to tighten up as the price on Over 2.5 Goals is 2.00 and the price on Under is 1.80. With the Both Teams To Score market it's the opposite - Yes is the favoured option at 1.75, while No is priced at 2.00.
The Betting Verdict
Even if the game will indeed be low-scoring, it will still most likely produce goals on both ends.
Neither of these sides is renowned for their defensive prowess so the low-scoring bit will come from physical play and plenty of fouls. Still we think both teams will find the net, there's quite enough offensive firepower here.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Roma 2-1 Lazio
