Italian Serie A
2025-05-23 - Como vs Inter Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 38
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Lombardy, Italy (13,602)
Friday, 23 May 2025, 20:45 CET
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Como Team News
Como is definitely the story of this season. The newly promoted side is now a staple of Serie A both in terms of results and performances. Como is a joy to watch as Cesc Fabregas created a very good team that almost always scores - and that was on a six-game winning run until Verona halted them with a 1-1 last week.
In the previous six rounds, Como defeated Monza, Torino, Lecce, Genoa, Parma and Cagliari after drawing 1-1 with Empoli back in late March. Meaning, Como had a beauty of a schedule that brought them eight consecutive non-top sides. And this is precisely the environment in which they thrive.
Against the top sides, things aren't looking as bright. Como recently lost to Milan, Roma, Juventus, Milan again, and Inter. In the meanwhile they also got a win against Napoli and Fiorentina and a draw against Lazio. While Como already has the power to beat a top side, they still can not do so consistently. But they usually score a goal, which will be an important part of our betting strategy for this game.
Inter Milan Team News
Inter all but ruined the season by recent subpar performances that allowed Napoli to enter the final Serie A round with a one-point advantage over Nerazzuri. Now Inter needs to beat Como and hope Napoli doesn't beat Cagliari in Naples at the same time.
Meaning, we'll know the Serie A champion after this double header on Friday.
Inter is playing the Champions League final next Saturday against PSG, and therefore has a chance to do a double. It is the CL match that likely has priority as Inter doesn't decide its fate here - Napoli does.
Probable Lineups
Como (4-2-3-1): Butez - Vojvoda, Engelhardt, Kempf, Valle - Perrone, Da Cunha - Caqueret, Paz, Strefezza - Douvikas. Coach Fabregas.
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Bisseck, Acerbi, Bastoni - Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco - Thuram, Taremi. Coach S.Inzaghi.
The most glaring absence is Lautaro Martinez. He will likely go in at some point as a test of his condition before the Champions League final, but he won't start. Pavard is also out.
The Betting Market
Inter is a 1.65 favourite, and we're getting similar prices on Both Teams To Score: YES and Over 2.5 Goals, as both are priced at 1.61.
The Betting Verdict
It's important to note that, at some point, Inter may give up if Napoli is 2-0 or 3-0 up in the other game, which is a certain possibility.
Inter is surely a favourite here but not for 1.65 - this would be the price in a must-win situation against, say, Torino. Como is a better side than Torino and, like we said, it's possible that Inter won't play for their lives for full 90 minutes but this time could be cut short.
The bet to make here is Both Teams To Score.
It is priced at only 1.61 so we'll add the Over 2.5 Goals on top to make it 1.95, using the Bet365 Bet Builder feature.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Como 2-2 Inter
