Italian Serie A
2025-09-14 - Pisa vs Udinese
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 3
Arena Garibaldi, Pisa, Tuscany, Italy (14,869)
Sunday, 14 September 2025, 15:00 CET
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Pisa Team News
Pisa is a tough little team with a good goalkeeper in Adrian Šemper. They scored first in Bergamo against Atalanta, then luckily only conceded once to take a point. In the second round, they tortured Roma for a long time but eventually succumbed to a 0-1 defeat. Truth be told, Pisa should have lost both matches. They defend with courage but eventually all of the top sides will find a way to score against them.
Now Pisa is in for a breather after two very difficult challenges right upon joining the Serie A as their opponent here is Udinese. Also a tough side that runs a lot and doesn't leave much space, but far less talented in the offensive third. Pisa will also sit back and defend, they'll look good when they choose to go forward, and they'll try to get a point or three with their limited abilities.
Udinese Team News
Don't chase last week's results -- Udinese won on the road against Inter Milan but that's just Serie A for you. Udinese is known to beat huge favourites on the road, they do it once or twice every season, and are more likely to do it when underestimated.
It doesn't translate to doing well in a visiting match such as this one where the challenges are completely different. Udinese doesn't tend to perform two weeks in a row, either, it's always hot and cold with this team.
Coach Runjaic would want to play offensively but the roster doesn't allow it as all the good players are gone, so now he has to make do with what's left. This is just an average mid-of-the-table side that wins on a good day, that's all. Udinese isn't a defensively oriented team but a toothless one, which is why their games end with under 2.5 goals most of the time. 1-1 is like a perennial score for Udinese in all matches, you see it week after week. Their percentage of one-ones is incredible.
Probable Lineups
Pisa (3-4-2-1): Šemper - Lusuardi, Caracciolo, Canestrelli - Toure, Marin, Aebischer, Angori - Tramoni, Moreo - Meister. Coach Gilardino.
Udinese (3-5-2): Sava - Palma, Kristensen, Solet - Ehizibue, Pietrowski, Atta, Karlstrom, Zemura - Davis, Bayo. Coach Runjaic.
Creative midfielder Lovric is out for Udinese.
The Betting Market
All three outcomes are priced the same, close to 3.00, with the draw being the priciest option at 3.10. You can get 2.75 on both Pisa and Udinese.
Under 2.5 Goals is the best bet here, but at 1.62 it has no value. We're looking at a low-scoring game but wouldn't want to see it ruined at these low odds.
The Betting Verdict
This will be a cagey affair as the home team will try to win this one 1-0, without conceding a goal, as they know they're hardly capable of scoring two so Udinese must be stopped at all costs. That being said, when one side scores the other will open up and will rush to get the equalizer.
We're seeing this either as a 0-0 or a 1-1. Pisa seems closer to winning it if the defence holds, but Udinese probably has the same opinion of themselves. One side will score, the other will equalize. This one's a draw.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Pisa 1-1 Udinese
