Italian Serie A
2025-09-15 - Como vs Genoa
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 3
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Lombardy, Italy (13,602)
Monday, 15 September 2025, 20:45 CET
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Como Team News
Como unpleasantly surprised us with a 1-0 defeat in Bologna, but come to thing of it, it makes sense. Bologna is a true football team with a clear game plan, and Como obviously isn't yet at a level where they can overpower teams with their fluent passing as a visitor. But now they return home, where they defeated Lazio 2-0 in the opener so they're likely to get another win on their tally.
Coach Fabregas is slow to introduce the new signings - €75m was spent - into the side in order to not disrupt the team. So this side is still heavily reliant on Paz to do most things in offense, while the new weapons are being introduced cautiously. Despite the addition of Alvaro Morata, Anastasios Douvikas is still the first-choice centre forward.
What's important to note here is that Fabregas and Como should be trusted as they seem to be trending in the right direction continously, growing one step at a time. If Fabregas doesn't introduce some player just yet, he knows why. This is one good coach and one good football team that will likely finish in the top third this season and play in one of the European cups come 2026/27.
Genoa Team News
The unremarkable side that is Genoa is responsible for two very boring matches so far. First, they hosted Lecce and although we expected them to somehow find a way to win an equally toothless opponent, surprise surprise, the match ended 0-0. Then, Genoa traveled to play Juventus and lost 1-0.
Prepare yourself for a lot of such results from Genoa this season, as it's basically the only way they can get points. Their star forwards are gone, so they can't score at all and they know it. So they spend the 90 minutes trying to prevent anything from happening at all. This is your new Torino right here.
Probable Lineups
Como (4-2-3-1): Butez - Vojvoda, Ramon, Kempf, Valle - Perrone, Da Cunha - Kuhn, Paz, Rodriguez - Douvikas. Coach Fabregas.
Genoa (4-2-3-1): Leali - Norton-Cuffy, Ostigard, Vasquez, Martin - Masini, Frendrup - Ellertsson, Carboni, Stanciu - Colombo. Coach Vieira.
The Betting Market
Como is a 1.68 favourite, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.73, Both Teams To Score: NO is priced at 1.70, and you can get 2.60 or more on Como to Win To Nil. This basically explains all you need to know about this game.
The Betting Verdict
This is probably one of the last chances to get above 1.60 on a Como home win, as the bookmakers and everyone else will soon pick up on the quality of the home side. Due to the low-scoring nature of this match, 1.68 isn't a very valuable bet but it's still the most reasonable one to make
The only minor reason why we'd possibly want to stay away from this one is that a low-scoring game is expected. Genoa is perfectly capable of locking this game into another 0-0. But we trust Como to come through, especially at these odds. Paz will cook something up.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Como 1-0 Genoa
