Europa League
2025-11-06 - Crvena Zvezda vs Lille
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; UEFA Europa League: 04th Round
Stadion Rajko Mitic – Belgrade
Thursday, 06th November 2025 - kickoff 18:45 CET
Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda are in a deep crisis that started a couple of weeks ago, with their 2-0 away defeat against Braga in this competition, where they showed nothing in that game.
But even more worrying is how they responded to that. They subsequently drew 0-0 against Radnicki Nis, lost 3-2 to Vojvodina, and surprisingly played to a 1-1 draw against Radnik Surdulica last weekend, when many had expected them to win by scoring 5+ goals.
All these results led to the sacking of their head coach, who is leaving the team in a bad atmosphere. Even the club president has recently issued €10K fines for each player on the team for their poor performances.
Something’s not right in the team, and I don’t see how they can bounce back against Lille, who are more than a solid French side.
Crvena Zvezda is the bottom-30th team in the UEFA Europa League, drawing once and losing twice, so it's game over for them. I don’t see where they will get points.
They concede at over 1.5 goals per game in this competition, which leaves room for Lille to punish them, and I believe they will concede at least twice in this match.
Lille
Lille has won three of their last four matches, most recently beating Angers 1-0 last weekend.
Sitting fourth in the French Ligue 1 gives them the confidence and motivation to keep up with their good performances.
Lille won against Brann Bergen and AS Roma in the opening two rounds, but unexpectedly lost 3-4 against PAOK Thessaloniki in their last European game. That puts slight pressure on them, which I believe they will respond well to in this game.
A notable recent highlight is that their goalkeeper, Berke Özer, made headlines by saving three consecutive penalties in a somewhat surreal 0-1 away win against AS Roma in the Europa League. That shows that they have the mentality for big matches and can dig in when needed.
The Betting Verdict
Putting it all together, Lille have the edge on paper, but the environment and home advantage for Crvena Zvezda tilt things slightly toward the hosts being competitive.
Crvena Zvezda will aim to keep things compact, defend well, and try to hit on the counter or set-pieces. Lille will come looking to assert their attacking quality and exploit gaps.
Eventually, things should fall into place, and I expect the more quality side of Lille to win this match at pretty good odds.
The Pick :
Crvena Zvezda 1-2 Lille
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Lille to win at odds of 2.34 with SportBet.One
