Europa League
2025-11-06 - Nice vs SC Freiburg
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; UEFA Europa League 04th Round
Allianz Riviera – Nice
Thursday, 06th November 2025 - kickoff 18:45 CET
Nice
Nice has had a tough European campaign so far. They lost all three of their games against Roma, Fenerbahce, and Celta Vigo, conceding twice in each defeat.
Perhaps now is the best time to improve, given SC Freiburg's unstable form in recent weeks.
Also, Lille’s Ligue 1 form is a little better: they’ve gained some home comfort and have shown more promise domestically.
They lost to PSG narrowly with 1-0 last weekend in the last moments of the game, but before that were unbeaten in five matches, drawing twice and winning three games.
Nice has a solid attack, and are also unbeaten in five home games, winning four matches. That tells me they are a threat at home, and I expect them to show a solid performance in this match against SC Freiburg.
On the flip side, their European record at home is awful — Nice was winless in 9 of its last 11.
So I believe Nice will feel under pressure here. They’ll need to use the home crowd and environment, but the European context is not helping them.
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg travels to Nice as winless in six competitive matches, losing four times.
Most recently, they played an uninspiring goalless away draw against Union Berlin last week, showing another below-average display.
However, SC Freiburg arrive in better shape in this competition: they have collected 7 points from their first three Europa League games (2 wins, 1 draw) — their best start in the competition since 2022.
Wins against Basel and Utrecht, and a draw away against Bologna, give them a confidence boost before this match.
Their attacking numbers are less spectacular — SC Freiburg averages around a goal per match in recent all-competition games. But the balance, their ability to defend, keep things tight, and hit when needed, is there.
The Betting Verdict
I expect this to be a tight game. Nice will try to dominate the ball possession, but given their European struggles and defensive frailties, I’m not convinced they’ll fully turn the set-up to their favour.
SC Freiburg will likely be organised, not flashy, but effective — they’ll look to exploit any mistakes from Nice rather than blow them away.
Based on recent shape and results, I think Nice is better positioned for their first points in Europe.
Still, will add the draw as a backup, so the bet recommendation is taking Nice on a double chance bet.
The Pick :
Nice 1-0 SC Freiburg
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Nice to win or draw (1X) at odds of 1.50 at Bet365
