Italian Serie A
2025-11-07 - Pisa vs Cremonese
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 11
Arena Garibaldi, Pisa, Tuscany, Italy (14,869)
Friday, 07 November 2025, 20:45 CET
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Pisa Team News
Pisa remains winless in this 2025/26 season and, perhaps much more worryingly, scoreless in five home fixtures. They can score on the road alright -- their travels include a 2-2 at Torino, 2-2 at AC Milan, and a 3-2 defeat to Napoli. But at home they're on a three-match nil-nil streak as their matches at Arena Garibaldi produce a total goal average of only 0.40.
More importantly than the matches against big sides, where Pisa is expected to defend with ten bodies, the fixtures comparable to this one, against Udinese and Verona, produced a grand total of 1 goal (Udinese won 0-1). In both matches, the visitors dictated play. Yes, even Verona, they got an xG of over 1.50 in Pisa. The home side usually doesn't do a whole lot more than a few harmless shots.
Cremonese Team News
Cremonese finally lost again, and was in fact powerless against Juventus that played totally invigorated under the new coach Spalletti. True, Cremonese scored - we said Vardy will do well in this league and in this particular - but the home side was inferiour throughout.
This was only the second Cremonese defeat this season. The first one was to Inter, so it takes a genuinely competent side to defeat these newcomers to Serie A. Cremonese is a tough team that can defend all day, and cause all sorts of problems when they go forward as they have excellent forwards in Bonazzoli and Vardy.
Probable Lineups
Pisa (3-5-2): Šemper - Bonfanti, Caracciolo, Canestrelli - Toure, Akinsanmiro, Aebischer, Marin, Leris - Moreo, Nzola. Coach Gilardino.
Cremonese (3-5-2): Audero - F.Terracciano, Baschirotto, Bianchetti - Barbieri, Payero, Bondo, Vandeputte, Floriani - Vardy, Bonazzoli. Coach Nicola.
The Betting Market
Pisa is favoured for some reason at 2.25, as if they got a real chance to win this. They do not. The opposite outcome, Double Chance on Cremonese, is the winning one but you can only get up to 1.65. Asian Handicap +0 on Cremonese is valued at 2.38.
Under 2.5 Goals is understandably the favoured option at 1.62, and this is in fact a valuable price as this game should have been set at the Serie A bottom price of 1.53.
Both Teams To Score: NO looks like real value at 1.80. Goals will be at a premium here, these two sides will barely make it to a two-goal total, let alone one a piece.
The Betting Verdict
Pisa looks like a team without a game plan that can work in this league, and Cremonese is the complete opposite as they seem to have unlocked the code on how to do well in Serie A. It's very difficult to prepare against Cremonese. If you go forward they'll counter you for sure.
We expect Cremonese to look much better on the pitch, and to remain undefeated. However, the best value can be had in bets on this match being low-scoring, which includes the BTTS-No bet. The bookmakers expect a 1-1. We do not -- this is either a 0-0 or a 0-1.
The Pick :
Pisa 0-1 Cremonese
