Italian Serie A
2025-11-08 - Lecce vs Hellas Verona
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 11
Stadio Via del mare, Lecce, Apulia, Italy (40,670)
Saturday, 08 November 2025, 15:00 CET
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Lecce Team News
Lecce did what few expected and won 0-1 at Fiorentina. The home side ended up having almost 1.50 xG but the ball wouldn't go in, which is both a sign of poor finishing for Fiorentina and a sign of stubborn defence.
Lecce can be involved in high-scoring matches when the scenario suits it, but in most cases their matches are leaning towards a 0-0, or 1-0 at best. Here they will be looking for a 1-0 victory, that's for sure, so they will look to secure their own goal first and then go forward with not too many men.
Verona Team News
Verona isn't a side that we have a negative opinion of, as they play nicely and their forwards are quite competent, but they are unable to see a game through.
Verona is like someone who always starts tasks but never actually finishes them. This side is winless so far in ten rounds despite playing well and taking the lead on several occasions. Yet somehow the game always runs away from them in the end.
Another case in point was the 1-2 home defeat to Inter Milan as the visitors scored the winning goal in the 95th minute. The week before they conceded to Como in the 92nd, and the week before to Cagliari for 2-2 also in the 92nd.
That's Verona for you.
Probable Lineups
Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone - Veiga, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo - Helgason, Ramadani, Berisha - Pierotti, Stulic, Morente. Coach Di Francesco.
Verona (3-5-2): Montipo - Nelsson, Bella-Kotchap, Valentini - Belghali, Serdar, Gagliardini, Bernede, Frese - Giovane, Orban. Coach Zanetti.
The Betting Market
Lecce is a slight favourite at 2.75 while Verona's win is priced at 2.90, but the winner market is best left alone as this is likely a one-goal game and these can go either way.
Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.50, a price we haven't yet seen this season in this league as the lowest was 1.53, but the Both Teams To Score: NO price is significantly higher at 1.70.
The Betting Verdict
Lecce and Verona play each other often and they're always in the same role - two relegation candidates. Five of the last six meetings produced a low-scoring game, and four of them ended with only 1 goal total.
The Under price offered on this game represents the newest low for Serie A, but we still think there's value in it.
As a matter of fact, some bookmakers have it as low as 1.43 so 1.50 at Bet365 is, believe it or not, a value bet.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Lecce 1-1 Verona
