English Premier
2025-11-09 - Manchester City vs Liverpool
A Sports Betting Pick by Auls
Football: English Premier League
Sunday 9th November 2025 - Kick Off 4:30pm
This game is live on TV
Manchester City
Some of the Manchester City performances this season have not exactly been as eye-catching as Pep Guardiola teams tend to produce, but they have looked pretty good over the last week. Big wins over Bournemouth and Borussia Dortmund has given Manchester City real momentum and there will be a quiet confidence amongst this group ahead of the home game against the English Champions.
The win on Wednesday has moved Manchester City into a solid position in the Champions League standings and they have begun this weekend in 2nd place in the Premier League table. However, that table could look quite different by the time this fixture kicks off on Sunday and Manchester City might be under some pressure to close the gap to leaders Arsenal, who have a chance to move 9 points clear of Guardiola's team twenty-four hours earlier. The Citizens have a 4-0-1 home record in the Premier League and have scored 13 goals and conceded 4 in those games.
Manchester City have won 6 of their last 7 games in all competitions, including each of the last 3 since losing at Villa Park. Tottenham Hotspur won here back in August, but Manchester City have responded with 6 wins in a row in all competitions in front of the home supporters.
Only long-term absentee Mateo Kovacic is absent this weekend.
Liverpool
The home defeat in the League Cup Fourth Round meant many more questions for Arne Slot and his Liverpool team to answer, but they have responded very effectively. Wins over Aston Villa and Real Madrid will have gotten everyone feeling turned around and another big result for Liverpool ahead of the November international break may just be the boost to really get this season going again.
Despite the rocky run in the Premier League, Liverpool are 3rd in the standings before any football is played this weekend and they are 7 points behind leaders Arsenal. Like Manchester City, those associated with Liverpool will have been watching to see how Arsenal do twenty-four hours earlier and that gap could look very big at kick off. The Champions have a 2-0-3 record away from home in the Premier League where they have scored 8 goals and conceded 9.
Liverpool had lost 6 of 7 games in all competitions prior to last weekend, but the wins produced over the last week means they have won 3 of the last 5. Both of those wins over Aston Villa and Real Madrid have been at Anfield and that means Liverpool travel to the Etihad Stadium having lost 4 of their last 5 away games in all competitions, including 3 straight away Premier League defeats.
Alexander Isak is a doubt, but is perhaps closer to returning to action than both Alisson and Jeremie Frimpong. All three should be able to return after the international break if not available this weekend.
Head to Head
Liverpool did the Premier League double over Manchester City last season with both wins secured by the same 2-0 scoreline.
They are now unbeaten in 4 overall against Manchester City, while Liverpool have only lost 1 of their last 5 League visits to this ground.
Prediction
With twenty-eight games to be played in the Premier League, this feels far too early to call this a 'best of the rest' contest when Liverpool travel to Manchester City.
However, it would perhaps be fairer to suggest the winner of this game on Sunday will be the most likely team to push leaders Arsenal in the Premier League title race. A draw would be the result that would suit Mikel Arteta and his club right down to the ground, but neither Pep Guardiola nor Arne Slot will be worrying about anything other than earning a positive result for their own club.
Manchester City have plenty of momentum behind them, despite the setback at Villa Park a couple of weeks ago.
Home form has been really important and 6 straight wins here in all competitions will give any set of players confidence. They look about as healthy as the manager could hope and that means Manchester City have solid options for both the starting eleven, but also for making a difference from the bench.
The layers have Manchester City down as odds on favourites and some of that may be down to the fact they have a winning run at home to protect, while Liverpool have lost 4 of the last 5 away games played. That includes losing 3 away Premier League fixtures in succession, but there have been signs over the last week that Arne Slot is getting back to basics with his team selection.
Putting Alexis Mac Allister, Ryan Gravenberch and Dominic Szoboszlai into a midfield three has just made Liverpool a little more solid. Conor Bradley at right back is more natural, while Andy Robertson has just been restored to left back to offer his experience to a team that have been struggling and perhaps not getting much of the rub of the green.
It certainly helped Liverpool limit the chances that Aston Villa and Real Madrid have been able to create against them, while this is a squad that have matched up pretty well with Manchester City in the last couple of years.
Liverpool are unbeaten in 4 overall against Manchester City, while they have lost 1 of their last 5 Premier League visits to this ground and that has to be respected.
We have already seen Pep Guardiola set his team up in an unfamiliar manner in trying to earn a big result when visiting Arsenal and he will have a lot of respect for Liverpool and what they can do.
Manchester City have been a little more direct in their play, but Liverpool may be more comfortable with how Pep Guardiola is going to approach this fixture, while Arne Slot is also going to want his team have more control.
The feeling is that this is a big game that could end up being more cautious than carefree, despite the clearly talented players that are going to be on the field.
Neither manager is going to want to give too much away and that could lead to a battle, one that the layers are perhaps underestimating in terms of the amount of goals that will be scored.
The last 4 meetings between Liverpool and Manchester City have all ended with two goals shared out.
Both of these teams have played Arsenal this season and those two games have ended with less than three goals shared out.
Some of the defending we have seen from Liverpool in particularly may make it harder to believe that this is going to be a game that does not have a lot of goals attached, but they have looked much more solid over the last week. Arne Slot is going to continue with that approach and the attackers may have some problems against this Manchester City defensive shape, which has been working more effectively than the lack of clean sheets in the last couple of games here may suggest.
In the win-draw-win market, the feeling is that Liverpool can do enough to earn a positive result, but the under 2.5 goals market looks massively underestimated and the inclination is to go against the strong odds on prices for three or more goals to be shared out.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Manchester City 1-1 Liverpool
