Italian Serie A
2025-11-09 - Atalanta vs Sassuolo
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 11
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Bergamo, Lombardy, Italy (21,747)
Sunday, 09 November 2025, 12:30 CET
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Atalanta Team News
Atalanta's streak of not scoring more than once lives on. It now spans seven matches, but at least this one goal, in the 90th minute, was enough to win at Velodrome against Marseille. This was a big win for Atalanta and it will make Ivan Juric look like a good coach for at least a few days.
But in reality, he's doing awful things with Atalanta. The once free-scoring team now can't score and can't win, and most of their results resemble Torino from last season when Juric was at the helm: a lot of 0-0's and 1-1's.
The best offensive player, Ademola Lookman, is a troublemaker who wanted to leave the club during the summer and is now finding more reasons to be unhappy -- the coach dared to substitute him. All this doesn't look very good for Atalanta.
Sassuolo Team News
Sassuolo first won on the road against Cagliari and then lost at home to Genoa. The results actually make sense for a counter-attacking team and a team that runs a high-risk high-reward game plan that gets them reults but also makes these results vary wildly.
In other words, Sassuolo has a roughly same chance to win every game regardless of the opponent or venue.
Probable Lineups
Atalanta (3-4-3): Carnesecchi - Djimsiti, Hien, De Roon - Bellanova, Ederson, Pasalic, Zalewski - De Ketelaere, Krstovic, Lookman. Coach Juric.
Sassuolo (4-3-3): Muric - Walukiewicz, Idzes, Canda, Doig - Vrancx, Matic, Kone - Berardi, Pinamonti, Lauriente. Coach Grosso.
The Betting Market
The 1.44 on Atalanta is best left alone. Like when someone offers to buy your car for a ridiculously low price. It's not something you will do. Atalanta's wins are few and far in between. Basically they only defeated Lecce and Torino when things went very right. But most of the time they do not go right and Atalanta is struggling to score.
If Sassuolo scores too, which would probably make the Both Teams To Score: YES bet go through with a price of 1.91, then Atalanta will have to score two and that's a problem. The bookmakers think it won't be too much of an issue, as indicated by the price of 1.73 on Over 2.5 Goals.
The Betting Verdict
The odds point towards a home win of 2-1 or 3-1, which would be consistent with how this fixture played out the last 15 times or so. Atalanta would always win, the game would be high-scoring, and Sassuolo would score too.
We don't think this will be the case here. Sassuolo will defend deep and soak up pressure, so it won't be such an open game as everyone expects. That being said, we fully expect both teams to score, so the average total goals of Atalanta's matches will go up a bit.
Atalanta might even do the unthinkable and score twice.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Atalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
