NFL Football
2025-11-16 - Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
United States : NFL Week 11
Sunday 16th November 2025 - Scheduled 1pm
6pm (British Time)
Preview
The announcement that CJ Stroud is not going to be able to suit up for the Houston Texans (4-5) will be a disappointment, but you have to give Davis Mills so much credit for the performance produced in the Week 10 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars.
He has been a backup over the last couple of years, but Mills showed he can be very solid in that spot having helped the team fight back and win the game after falling behind by a couple of scores.
That has pushed the Houston Texans back to close to 0.500 for the season and they remain in touch with the teams chasing a Playoff spot. The chances of catching the Indianapolis Colts are not lost with the Houston Texans due to play the AFC South leaders twice before the end of the regular season, but they cannot afford to overlook the Tennessee Titans (1-8).
Plenty of changes will be coming up in the off-season, but the Titans are dangerous as hosts and coming out of a Bye Week.
Losing four games in a row is obviously not a good thing, but the real disappointment has been the lack of competitiveness the Titans have been able to produce in those defeats. Once again they could be finishing with a top Draft Pick, although this time they are likely to trade out of the position and try and earn a quicker rebuild around Cam Ward at Quarter Back.
You do have to feel so sorry for Cam Ward who is in a very difficult spot.
The talent around him is not good enough if the upper management are being honest and it has meant asking far too much out of a rookie Quarter Back.
They failed to score in the first meeting with the Houston Texans and this is going to be another challenging afternoon for Cam Ward and the Titans Offensive unit. Coming out of a Bye means having had more preparation time to help out, but the Titans have found it very difficult to run the ball and that has heaped the pressure on Ward.
Adding to that is the inability of the Titans Offensive Line to keep the pass rush from out of the backfield and the Houston Texans are likely going to be able to rattle Cam Ward when he is in obvious passing situations. Even with time, the Quarter Back will be tested having to throw into this Houston Secondary considering the lack of playmakers on the team and it could be another day where Tennessee have their issues moving the ball with any kind of consistency.
While the Houston Offensive Line have not exactly been opening up big running lanes in recent games, they should still be good enough to keep the team in third and manageable spots on the field.
Aiding that is the fact that the Titans Defensive Line have not been able to stop teams from pounding the rock against them and this should make the life of Davis Mills very comfortable.
One thing the Titans do do well is rushing the passer, but that becomes all the tougher when a team is playing in third and short spots and Davis Mills should be able to expose a Secondary that has struggled.
As long as the backup Quarter Back avoids turning the ball over, Houston can win this one and cover the spread.
They are due to play on Thursday Night Football in Week 12, but the Texans cannot afford to look past a Divisional opponent after the start made this season and that should keep Houston motivated.
In recent years the Titans have a solid record against the spread when coming out of a Bye Week, but they are now 0-13 against the spread when facing a fellow AFC team that has a losing record and in a game where Tennessee are given more than 3 points.
This could play out here as Houston chase a third straight win over this AFC South rival.
Prediction
Lay the points with the road favourite.
The Pick :
Tennessee Titans 13-24 Houston Texans
